JotCast | 2016 World Series Game 4 Live Blog

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5 Run Homer

9:04

Lackey isn't looking all that hot

Johnny Baseball

9:04

John Lackey is the greatest

Neil Weinberg

9:04

Conflicting opinions

Leon Powalski

9:04

I think they should just let Lackey get himself tossed instead of making a pitching change

Neil Weinberg

9:04

Oh yes please

Nick Stellini

9:05

There's some #strategy there

The replacement would get as long as he needs to warm up, right?

Neil Weinberg

9:05

I think that's just injury? But I'm not sure about it

Grorm Finkelstein

9:06

I'm listening to the radio broadcast--does Lackey have a legitimate beef about umpiring?

Neil Weinberg

9:07

Zone seems a little tight?

9:08

BACK PICK ATTEMPT

Nick Stellini

9:08

The Cubs love them some back picks

Neil Weinberg

9:08

back pickiest team in mlb

Deece

9:08

Now im interested in what happens if the cubs season litterally depends on Lester having to pick someone off in game 5

Neil Weinberg

9:09

Excited for this

Nick Stellini

9:09

The takes will kill us all

Ryan W

9:09

Is there any research on how often back picks work?

Neil Weinberg

9:09

I wrote about this for the upcoming THT annual

Slammin Sammy

9:09

"Strike" is the new "catch" right? Totally unclear

Nick Stellini

9:09

But did Lackey make a football move?

Neil Weinberg

9:09

I will have my full data set out for the public when the book comes out

Bro Charboneau

9:10

I'm expecting a crucial errant back pick to reinforce the curse narrative.

Neil Weinberg

9:10

Assume Lackey gets PH here?

Seth Moko

9:12

What's the leverage on leading off an inning?

Neil Weinberg

9:12

About average, or a touch below usually

Nick Stellini

9:12

Oh, Joe.

Neil Weinberg

9:12

Guess not!

Nick Stellini

9:13

This is a very bad decision.

Grorm Finkelstein

9:13

Finally found it--the rules don't seem to distinguish explicitly between ejection and injury: "If a sudden emergency causes a pitcher to be summoned into the game without any opportunity to warm up, the umpire-in-chief shall allow him as many pitches as the umpire deems necessary." Rule 5.07 (b)

Neil Weinberg

9:13

I don't get letting him hit. He has to have a short leash next inning

Nick Stellini

9:14

Maddon makes some.... interesting in-game choices.

Neil Weinberg

9:15

It's not so much that you let him hit there, it's that you're letting him hit when he does not appear to have much left

Nick Stellini

9:16

Right.

Leon Powalski

9:16

Has Dex been getting killed inside like this all year?

Nick Stellini

9:17

Neil should Bryant swing here?

Neil Weinberg

9:17

I remember noticing something about him on inside pitches like two months ago but I don't recall if it was good or bad

DONT SWING

Nick Stellini

9:17

Damnit, Sparkles.

Jon

9:17

I know managing ultimately only moves the needle a few percentage points, but do you think Francona has had one of the best managed postseasons ever?

Neil Weinberg

9:18

I think some of this is recency bias, but Francona has done very well relative to managers of the last five or so years at least

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