JotCast | 2022 Top 50 Free Agents Chat - 11/8/2021

2022 Top 50 Free Agents Chat - 11/8/2021

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Ben Clemens

2:28

I like Belt but I think there's reason to be skeptical that he'll repeat his 2021 -- it was a career year, like you said

Would you take 2/14 over a QO? I would if I were Belt, because if he's good next year, sick, get a nice FA deal. If he's not, I bet he could still get like 1/9 or something

Er sorry, I'd take the QO

2:29

That's why I projected him for it, but if his market is more like our crowdsource (2/16.5), then he'd be well-served to decline the QO

It's really cuspy, is my point

Paul

2:30

Where would you have had LIndor among this group of SS?

Ben Clemens

2:30

Right now? Tied with Seager

2:31

Before 2021? Top of the list

Dave

2:31

Do you think the Seager bros try to end up in the same place?

Ben Clemens

2:31

Eh, not if it messes with the money they'd receive

2:32

Like, playing with your brother is nice, but so is thirty million dollars

Buy a really nice videoconference room!

Paul

2:32

Isn't Kluber's contract last year a pretty decent comp for Velander? Obviously TJ is arguably less significant than Kluber's injuries, but I think that's the closest comp out there. $11m seems a lot more reasonable for a 39 y/o coming off that much time missed than $20m

Ben Clemens

2:32

He got a QO, so...

Romorr

2:32

I still hear so many people say about CC and Seager, that they are entering their prime. A 27 year old FA is different than a typical prospect. Expecting the best to come seems foolish to me?

Ben Clemens

2:32

.I would say that they are IN their prime

Entering vs. in is different, but not THAT different

Dave

2:32

So you don't think Hosmer will opt out next winter?

Ben Clemens

2:32

Ah, thanks! Could use a nice laugh

Slew

2:33

Are you considering doing FA 100-125 list so Cleveland fans can read about some players their team might sign?

cool

1

Ben Clemens

2:33

FanGraphs Top 50 NRI's

laughing

2

Mr. Redlegs

2:33

Who's your best guess on who will get a minor league contract but then end up earning significant pt?

Ben Clemens

2:34

Hm.... lookin through my list of eligible but not listed players

Donovan Solano

Rat Racoon

2:34

Which of the big free agents has the biggest chance of walking away with far less than expected? And then the reverse, who might get far more among some of the lesser known guys (Canha I'd guess)?

Ben Clemens

2:35

I dunno if Canha will do better than I projected him, but I had him meaningfully higher than the crowd, so I htink he's a good choice

I also had Yan Gomes pretty high on a relative basis

Those are my two favorites on the list

I think that Rodon and Story are two confusing ones

Where their range is just SO wide that it definitely has 'far less than expected' in it

barney gumble

2:36

a lot of talk about teams inking Seager with the intent of moving him to 3B in a couple years. isn't it silly to pay a premium for a SS when you know he'll move and lose even more of his value as he ages?

Ben Clemens

2:36

Yes, unless he has the bat of literally Corey Seager

Luckily, Seager does, so I think it's okay

It's like Springer, kinda

Dave

2:36

Baez also a wide range candidate?

Ben Clemens

2:36

Oh yeah, him as well

Though I think his is more in terms of whether he wants a short or long deal

I think there'll be a market

Joseph

2:36

If the dodgers could only sign 2 of their own free agents, which 2 do you think they would sign?

Ben Clemens

2:37

Seager and Kershaw

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