JotCast | AL Division Series Games 1 Chat

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Jimmy Wynn's Toy Cannon

5:18

Will Harris has been a really unrelated and reliable guy. Since 2015, top 5 in ERA-, top 20 in FIP-, and top 10 in xFIP-

Derek

5:18

Holy crap I was going to make a joke at Nate McClouth's expense but he almost had 4 WAR in '08!

Dystopian Future

5:18

Joe Girardi makes a good comment about Poche's fastball spin while dumbing it down enough for the casual fan. Props to him for that, and I'm really liking him as an analyst. He definitely has his moments.

Geust

5:18

Glad that Clemons guy is gone

Dan Szymborski

5:19

I'M TELLING

5:20

I really hope the Astros don't blow it dramatically in the 9th because the articles about how they should have left Verlander in will be overbearing to the extreme.

Dystopian Future

5:21

Speaking of Rays relievers, Emilio Pagan was obviously amazing this year, but it's more likely this is a one or two year wonder before he loses enough fastball command and goes back to being what he was pre-Rays, right?

Dan Szymborski

5:21

That usually happens with relievers. Teams find them, ride them for a few years, then the Rockies sign them.

What made Mo special wasn't just that he was awesome but that he was awesome for so frigging long. He could probably still be getting guys out right now

Josh Herzenberg

5:22

Hi all, just arrived. Like Ben said above, I'll be joined by Jay and Meg for the impending pitcher's duel this evening

Dan Szymborski

5:24

Hi Josh!

This is a Joshetizer.

Dystopian Future

5:24

Hi Josh, and welcome to Basebaholics Anonymous.

Josh Herzenberg

5:25

I'll try my best to fit in

Lunar verLander

5:25

Hello, Josh

Dan Szymborski

5:25

OH GOD SOMETHING IS DIFFERENT IN THE CHAT FORMAT AND I'M SCARED

Dystopian Future

5:25

Well, it wasn't just Rivera. I mean Joe Nathan, bar one bad year, was amazing for like 10+ straight years (if I'm recalling right). I wonder if it's just harder for relievers to be consistently great now because teams are focusing more on each reliever and how to beat them, and because all relievers have great stuff now.

Dan Szymborski

5:26

MO went 18 years with just a single ERA above 3

???

5:26

What is that random looking picture of two Astros and a girl in a black dress?

Dan Szymborski

5:26

WWE MLB!

5:27

Wire Fan

5:27

Dan do you do anything (or are planning anything) in ZIPS to account for the juiced ball or is it more a generic league wide adjustment to everyone? Also has it impacted projecting AAA players significantly?

Dan Szymborski

5:28

One of my long-term projects is figuring out how different types of players are affected differently by generic changes in offensive environment.

Which is still a work in progress!

But ZiPS does take into account league on a general level

Geust

5:28

Dan,

Dan Szymborski

5:28

That sounds ominous!

Dystopian Future

5:29

What is in Osuna's mouth.

Dan Szymborski

5:30

I dunno but it's yello and looks plasticy

Geust

5:30

Dan Im doing some research and I want to know if ballpark hr factors add x% to Hr/fb for every player or if sluggers get a bigger boost than low power guys. For example, would i multiply a player’s hr/fb by say 1.25 or would i add a certain amount to everybody’s.

Dan Szymborski

5:30

There is a HR/FB park factor.

Derek

5:30

Teeth?

Cito's Mustache

5:30

It's a mouth guard of some kind. Had it in his Toronto days too.

Dan Szymborski

5:31

Never noticed it before

Dystopian Future

5:31

FINAL in Houston: Astros 6 - 2 Rays. Thanks for chatting Jay, Josh, Dan, and Ben!

Dan Szymborski

5:31

And that's the game!

Thanks for joining us everyone! Get some food, pay attention to loved ones, and then report back for Josh, Meg, and Jay covering the Yankees vs. Twins!

5:32

I hope you all enjoyed spending part of your afternoon with us! You guys in the community is what makes FanGraphs be a thing.

Josh Herzenberg

5:32

Seconded, all of the above.

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