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AL Division Series Games 1 Chat
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Sanford
2:38
Feels like everyone throws upper 90s nowadays, but you can almost feel the heat watching Glasnow pitch. Dude pumps gas. So glad he's healthy again.
Phil
2:39
The NY talk radio has talked up Tanaka as being a "big game pitcher" as a reason why he should have started Game 1 over Paxton, who has "no postseason experience". Is this a thing>
Ben Clemens
2:40
Oh man, I'd love a sandwich palace.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:40
This Russell Carleton piece on postseason experience is worth sharing https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/22039/baseball-therapy...
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:40
OK, back.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:40
final 2 grafs:
I can imagine that there are some readers out there who are nearing the end of this article and are forming sentences in their heads that begin with “Yeah, but there’s no substitute for experience…” I would kindly point out that the numbers would suggest otherwise. I would also suggest that the important thing isn’t having experienced the playoffs yourself, but having some way to keep level. About the best case that you can make for the importance of playoff experience is to say that a guy who’s been around (and to a few postseasons) might be able to teach some coping skills to the younger players who haven’t been around as long. And maybe a few of them haven’t really yet developed those skills.

But make no mistake. The numbers are very clear here. This week, when you hear someone extol the virtues of playoff experience, you’ll know better. Prior playoff experience has no predictive power over outcomes in the postseason. I would gladly tell you otherwise if it were true, but the numbers just don’t back that
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:41
It's a good way to put it.
I tend to be less politic
Ben Clemens
2:42
Mickey Callaway disagreed with 80% of that article.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:42
hey that's less than he usually disagreed with things
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:42
I still think Callaway will be a fine pitching coach for someone again
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:42
Mickey "Peter Principle" Callaway
Derek
2:42
The FanGraphs Sandwich Palace sounds like it would be great!
Vin Scully
2:43
So no chance Cole takes a shorter deal with a high AAV (4/140) to contend every year and be close to home? Would the Dodgers even offer that deal?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:43
He might get that on a longer deal
Zmboringsky
2:43
Fool that I am, I kept looking for graphs in Jay's post.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:43
he'll get something like that as the pre-opt out portion
5 Run Homer
2:45
Timonium sounds like some made-up element, like unobtanium
Derek
2:45
Besides Astros & Dodgers, who do you guys think has the best chance to surprise and win the World Series?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:45
Yankees but it's hard to call them a SURPRISE
2:46
I'd have said the Nats but they've got a loss on the scoreboard which is significant.
Ben Clemens
2:46
Without delving too far into the dark arts, I will say that before the playoffs, I thought that the market was most wrong about the Cards and Nats.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:46
When you've got a AA and your opponent has KK and a king drops on the flop, you *should* feel a lot worse.
Ben Clemens
2:47
Not that the Cardinals are great, but I think that they were undervalued relative to the Braves.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:47
Plus you have to factor the Cardinals Devil Magic in any projection
Ben Clemens
2:47
Haha I'd say this is more like you have AK and your opponent flops a small pair
2:48
That's fair... Look at Tommy Edman this year!
It's crazy that no one has written about Edman at FG yet, but I assume it's because we all assume the other shoe will drop.
Nicholas
2:49
Sorry to hear about Bob Tufts passing away. Thanks for sharing Dan about his influence on your career.
AvatarJay Jaffe
2:49
23 of our contributors once covered the Cardinals, i figured it was only a matter of time
Ben Clemens
2:49
23 of our contributors once wrote for Viva El Birdos it seems.
stever20
2:49
So Braves now- will they just have Fried in the pen and have Teheran start game 4 if it gets there?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:49
Bob was an awesome dude and I will miss him greatly. I'm very thankful his daughter always made an effort to keep his friends up-to-date on his many hospital stays.
Ben Clemens
2:49
That makes sense to me. I always thought they should use Fried as a reliever, so I think they've been somewhat boxed into the right move. Teheran is good!
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
He had myeloma for about a decade and this was his second stem cell transplant. He sought every new treatment modality he could find and underwent it all with nary a cross word for anyone.
Sabo
2:50
if robo umps ever happen the one thing I'll miss is over dramatic strikeout gesticulating by the umps
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
You can program a wide variety of gesticulations into robots.
Ethan
2:51
TIL Dan is from where I am from as I sit in Towson
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
Yo! Whereabouts?
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