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ALCS Game 1 Chat
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Mike
9:50
IDK, with the 7 consecutive games it seems like depth and the amount that key relievers are forced to pitch is likely to be the decisive factor in these series.    Guys are not going to pitch effectively in 3 consecutive days or 4 out of 5 scenarios, and the sooner you start logging pitches on meaningful arms, the closer you get to the guys people don't want pitching, and the Astros bullpen has a number of those guys
AvatarDavid Laurila
9:50
I think both teams need a few starters to go deep into games.
Ben Clemens
9:50
Another strong contender
Mike
9:51
There is a clip of Pujols tagging from 1st to 2nd on a flyout to Yasiel Puig
Ben Clemens
9:51
This is just robbery
Tony Wolfe
9:51
that is outstanding
Derek
9:52
Francisco Lindor was the 6th-least valuable baserunner this year!
sadtrombone
9:54
Yeah, I feel like guys like Lindor are probably the more likely candidates. The fast guys who for some reason cannot run the bases properly. I think Altuve may fit in that category? Put up a lot of SBs, but somehow just isn't good at the rest of it.
Ben Clemens
9:54
Altuve is an excellent example
15 runs above average in his career on stolen bases
2 above average in other baserunning
Huh?
Lzfreak
9:55
Kiermaier seems like he should steal more bases given his speed. Not sure if that counts
Mike
9:56
theres plenty of fast guys who don't steal because their teams don't want them to steal

And this game has demonstrated why, actually.
Ben Clemens
9:56
Fast and being a good base stealer are not the same, that's for sure
AvatarDavid Laurila
9:58
While it's obvious that two-run homers are better than one-run singles, is more of the latter -- and less of the former -- aesthetically preferable going forward this postseason? Is this something fans would like to see?
Ben Clemens
9:58
I think so, David
9:59
If you specify that a game will finish 5-4
I'd rather have 8 runs off of base hits and 1 off of a dinger than vice versa
Derek
9:59
Re David's question: for me, yes!
Sam
10:00
This is very off topic so I apologize, but is there any one or two defensive stats that should be looked at with the most weight?
Ben Clemens
10:00
This is silly but, the best stat to look at is where teams play a player
Failing that, I really like Statcast's Outs Above Average
Which you can find here:
Tony Wolfe
10:01
OAA is my answer, with my one hang-up being that the technology is still so new
bosoxforlife
10:01
David. At age 78 I have watched the game transform and, while I still love the game, it was better with more hits, fewer strikeouts and a lot of hit and run plays. That play has disappeared with theswing and miss.
Kevinthecomic
10:02
I gotta chat with Laurila whenever u guys are allowed to have meet ups again so we can swap old timey Red Sox and Blue Jay's stories
AvatarDavid Laurila
10:02
Happy to talk about the Jeff Stone game any time!
Guest
10:02
That seems like a dubious metric Ben; almost like judging a hitter based on where a manager puts him in the lineup, even though we know managers don't construct lineups optimally.
Ben Clemens
10:02
Eh, it's not really the same at all
10:03
You can bat Albert Pujols fifth even when he can't hit that well anymore
You can't play him at short
Mike
10:03
I think you're going to get the one-run singles if for no other reason than that 2 of the 3 remaining series are being played in a Costco warehouse.    Statcast barreled balls in the Dodgers/padres series went like 4 for 23 with 3 dingers and a double.
Lzfreak
10:03
You can play Jeter at short though
Ben Clemens
10:04
Yeah it's not foolproof. But it's a really good first cut
Guest
10:04
Yeah, but you can still play Moustakas at second, or Harper in CF...
Ben Clemens
10:04
Moustakas looks fine at second!
Which is admittedly insane
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