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ALCS Game 1 Chat
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Grant
8:19
Are the Angels a good candidate to let Bauer go every 4 days? Between potentially having to work around Ohtani go only once a week, and an unconventional manager in Maddon, I think you can squint and see it working.
Ben Clemens
8:20
As good as anyone, I suppose, I just think it's a really pricey experiment if he isn't bringing a ton of data showing his performance in max-effort starts on 3 days of rest
Now, if he's bringing that, instead of it just being a theory of his, I'm more interested I suppose?
AvatarDavid Laurila
8:21
I think Bauer has set himself up to play for only a win-now-mode team -- this assumes he gets a qualifying offer -- as it's tough to give up draft picks  for only one guaranteed year of his services.
Ben Clemens
8:21
Very good point! And I think he'll definitely get a QO
The Reds would be happy to bring him back for one year at $19 million
Guest
8:22
The only way Bauer does not get a QO is if Dick Williams left the office locked and forgot to leave the keys behind when he resigned.
Lzfreak
8:22
He wouldn't accept the QO would he? Hard to gauge the market but still
Ben Clemens
8:23
Nah, I think there's a near-zero chance he'd accept it
Kevinthecomic
8:24
Who u got 4 most surprising performance this year, good or bad?  -- Solano? Pederson?
Ben Clemens
8:24
For the good side, I'm actually going to go with another Giant, Mike Yastrzemski
He was one of the best players in the league this year and did it in a way that looks sustainable
I did NOT see that coming
8:25
To be clear, I don't think he's this good, but I don't think it was a complete mirage either, and that's really impressive for a guy I had pegged as a quad-A type
Tony Wolfe
8:25
He cooled off a bit as the season went on, but I was really surprised by Dylan Bundy turning into an ace
Ben Clemens
8:25
Praising Francoeur was a great way to get him talking about pitcher-vs-batter splits :(
Lzfreak
8:26
Tootblan!
Derek
8:26
A postseason pickoff!
Ben Clemens
8:26
Springer not even bothering to get into a pickle was kinda funny
He was just like okay fine you got me
AvatarDavid Laurila
8:27
Regarding surprising performances, I don't think anyone expected Jose Iglesias to have a 160 wRC+. (Same as Yaz 2.0.)
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
8:27
TOOTBLAN is harsh when you're running on first movement against the lefty.
Ben Clemens
8:28
Perhaps going on first motion against Snell is the nincompoop part of it
It's not like Springer is a base-stealing savant or anything. 48 SB and 31 CS in his career, that is BAD
Grant
8:29
What's the statistical 'break-even' on SB%? Like 75ish%?
Ben Clemens
8:29
Yeah, 75% is a great rule of thumb
Sam
8:29
Anything noticeable up with Snell? This one is obviously still early, but he seemed to get hit pretty hard in his start against the Yankees too
Tony Wolfe
8:30
His velocity is normal. One thing noticeable is that he's not fooling anyone with his fastball
He's gotten just two whiffs on his four-seamer across his last two starts
Ben Clemens
8:30
That seems bad!
Derek
8:30
It's almost exactly 75%, no? I remember an article someone wrote here that broke it down by situation
Ben Clemens
8:30
Yeah there are situations where it's better. Stealing second with two outs in the inning is good, that kinda thing
Stealing second with no one out is worse
8:31
But the aggregate is almost exaclty 75%
AvatarDavid Laurila
8:31
Altuve is 33 for his last 98 in the postseason.
Guest
8:32
Do you think any of Springer, Brantley, or Reddick ends up back with the Astros?
Ben Clemens
8:33
Reddick really shouldn't considering they have Tucker and presumably Yordan
I have just no idea at all on Correa
8:34
I think the team might use the forfeited draft picks as an excuse to go cheap this offseason
Springer*, not Correa
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