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August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 10/18/16
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august fagerstrom
12:39
I don't think a single front office in baseball thinks in terms of "needing power"
Teams need production, period
Production is the sum of what a player provides, and power is just one sliver of that
Scott
12:40
Between Kershaw and Miller, who would you take to get you three outs? Throw 2 innings? 3?
august fagerstrom
12:40
If Kershaw knows he's only going the 1/2/3 innings and can pitch like a reliever? Kershaw
Graham
12:41
someone should make a pitching metric like ERA but instead of having earned runs given to the starting pitcher (or reliever) after they leave the game if the next reliever allows their men on base in, it credits them with an expected runs scored based on the base-out state they left
august fagerstrom
12:41
I kinda like this idea
Baller Status
12:41
Move Zobrist up to 2 to put another guy who get on in front of Bryant since he is one of the only guys hitting?
august fagerstrom
12:41
I wouldn't move the only guy who's hitting down in the order
The reason he hits second is because he is their best hitter
Nelson
12:44
Naquin was a 15th overall pick. So far can you say hes outperformed draft day expectations, or hes on-target?
august fagerstrom
12:45
Average 6year WAR of the 15th overall pick is in the ~4-5 WAR range, per these (http://www.hardballtimes.com/the-net-value-of-draft-picks/) articles (http://www.hardballtimes.com/how-much-is-a-draft-pick-worth-in-2014/)
Naquin was a 2.5 WAR player this year, probably profiles as something like a ~1.5 WAR player next year
I'd say he's more likely than not to break 4.5 WAR by the time he hits free agency
12:46
Could do it with another good season as soon as next year
Cody Thomas
12:46
Who is the most valuable position player so far in the ALCS?
august fagerstrom
12:46
Lindor?
Chisenhall?
12:47
Kipnis?
IDK, been a pretty even team effort outside of the pitching
Cubbies
12:47
What does the Cubs offense need to do in LA to get their bats woken up? Kershaw looming as a Game 5 starter and RP in game 7 brings on memories of Bumgarner in the 2014 WS against KC. Seems to me they need to win 2 in LA.
august fagerstrom
12:48
They just need to hit. I don't know. A lot of people have asked similar questions. I don't think the Cubs need to do anything radical in changing their lineup around or anything. They have the best team in baseball. They just need to keep being that and beat the other team
It's a boring answer, but I mean, there's not much they can do other than try their hardest, which is what they've been doing all along
Zac
12:48
I have a feeling that Kris Bryant is going to hit a Rich Hill curveball 500 ft tonight. Is there a way to bet on that?
august fagerstrom
12:48
sure bet me a buck
Mike M
12:48
Where do you see Fowler playing next year, and to that point, who is in CF for the Cubs? Bryant?
august fagerstrom
12:48
No Kris Bryant will not be the Cubs center fielder next year
t
12:49
Doesn't it seem like there should be something in our marvelous 21st century medical toolbox that would close up a wound like Bauer's in a few days? Enough to pitch at least? I remember a scene in this documentary called Boondock Saints where they cauterized bullet wounds with a hot iron and that seemed to work out pretty well. Didn't really matter for Schilling.
august fagerstrom
12:49
Read Jeff Passan's column last night. He wanted to cauterize it and was dead serious about it
GSon
12:50
Augie.. Merritt is a command curve/slider/change up guy.. Clevinger works off his poorly commanded fastball. Fastball hitting teams like the Jays.. CRUSH Clevinger.. Junk balling command artists like Merritt give the Jays fits..
august fagerstrom
12:50
Yeah, there's this, too. Merritt is also a lefty pitching against the Blue Jays
JKD
12:50
I put Justin Turner down for 6/$150 in the projections, which seemed crazy! Justin Turner! Them I looked at his production the last three years, and projection for next year, and did depreciation from there, and... that's exactly where it ends up. Maybe he only gets 5 years? But he really is that good, isn't he? And especially in this market, he's *got* to get safely over six figures, right?
august fagerstrom
12:51
Yeah, Justin Turner is probably one of the leaders for the new "most underrated player in baseball" title
Cubs Fan
12:52
Looking at that Miller line from the playoffs (9IP, 20K, 0R, 4H, 2BB) and knowing how crazy it looks, it reminds to marvel at the Kerry Wood 20K game (9IP, 20K, 0R, 1H, 2BB) and wonder at how he did it in considerably harder circumstances.
august fagerstrom
Sent that tweet right after the game ended last night
"Andrew Miller has 20 strikeouts over his last nine innings, which actually might say more about Kerry Wood, Max Scherzer, and Roger Clemens."
Andrew
12:52
How many times have you watched "Major League" in the past two weeks?
august fagerstrom
12:53
none in the last decade
Eduardo
12:54
Thoughts on Mike Hazen taking over in Arizona? As a Diamondbacks fan, I'm thrilled they finally hired somebody competent.
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