August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 12/29/15
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august fagerstrom
12:51
he lost a whole bunch of strikeouts last year and Steamer doesn't see him getting any of them back
Steamer also sees a jump in his home run rate
12:52
home run spike might be unfair, he only ever gave up 2 in the minors and he gets ground balls
he's never had a great swinging strike rate, so I could buy into the strikeouts not coming back
Tony
12:52
Is Marcus Stroman a future ace? He's a pretty small guy, but man he throws darts.
august fagerstrom
12:52
maybe not top-10 pitcher in baseball ace, but yeah, he could front the rotation of a playoff team
Q-Ball
12:53
Not sure I am as optimistic as you are on the Indians scoring enough runs. That assumes progression from Urshela, Napoli and Santana stay good, Rajai Davis doesn't suck, Chisenhall is OK, and a whole lot of other things that are not very sure things. To me, they are 1 injury or player decline away from disaster. Thoughts?
august fagerstrom
12:53
I think earlier I mentioned that I wasn't super high on them scoring enough runs either
I was arguing from the FO's perspective
Kylo Ren
12:54
The Cardinals have gotten significantly worse, right? Heyward, Lynn, Lackey--gone. Leake? Com'on. Molina needing a second surgery. Besides "Cardinal magic", what is actually looking up for them?
august fagerstrom
12:54
I mean they still have a pretty solid roster but I'm kind of in the same boat in that I'm more down on this Cardinals team than I have been in years
I think the gap between the Cubs and the Cards/Pirates is significant
Rookie/Mookie
12:55
Who is the better name?
august fagerstrom
12:55
Mookie, easy
the Rookie thing is going to get played out quick in his rookie season
and then after that it's just confusing/demeaning
Q-Ball
12:56
Jason Hammel had a lower FIP last year than Zimmermann and Cueto. He makes $9 mil. Yet every Cub fan seemingly wants to dump him. Recency bias? Or are they smarter than me?
august fagerstrom
12:56
well looking only at single-season FIP to evaluate a pitcher isn't the greatest, especially with a guy like Cueto, but I don't think that's your point. I think your point is that Hammel is just fine, especially as a 4th or 5th starter in a rotation fronted by Arrieta and Lester, in which case you'd be totally correct
Anon
12:56
Baez is playing cf in winter leagues.... Does this mean anything?
august fagerstrom
12:57
means he's athletic enough to play anywhere on the diamond and the Cubs would love for him to be able to do so
especially Joe Maddon
Anon
12:57
Kimbrel or Giles, which deal was more lopsided?
august fagerstrom
12:57
I'm not sure either one was lopsided, per se, but Kimbrel's haul was more impressive
Kimbrel is also more impressive, so
Bobby
12:59
Which young SP do you see making "the leap" into the discussion of the best pitchers in baseball? I was leaning towards Marcus Stroman, but i'm not sure he gets the innings. Thor is a good bet. Who does August Fagerstrom buy stock in?
august fagerstrom
12:59
can I pick Gerrit Cole? or is he already too close?
I think Danny Salazar could end up near the top
1:00
and on a lesser scale, I like Raisel Iglesias' chances to cement himself as a front of the rotation starter too
Biscuit
1:00
Yeah but aren't the Pirates basically planning on Glasnow coming up to take Vogelsong's spot?
august fagerstrom
1:01
in a perfect world, yeah, but I think the point is that counting on the 21-year-old with command issues to supplant the bad 37-year-old is less than ideal for a team that aims to contend
john
1:01
does anyone have interest in Jay Bruce? he seems like a blah player at this point
august fagerstrom
1:01
yeah, teams have interest
1:02
maybe less than the Reds wish, though
kind of the theme of their offseason
Copp
1:02
How much would you pay Dan Uggla to be your strength and conditioning coach? (you get to have a clause in the contract that he never steps on the field)
august fagerstrom
1:02
mine?
I don't really need to pay for a strength and conditioning coach in my line of work
Guest
1:02
Are the Yanks back in the mix for the east pennant?
august fagerstrom
1:02
sure
Copp
1:02
Who has the better year in 2016 assuming both stay healthy, Alex Wood or Shelby Miller?
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