August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 2/9/16
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august fagerstrom
11:50
hi all! we'll get this thing started shortly after noon EST
soundtrack: The White Stripes - White Blood Cells
12:07
let's begin!@
The Dude of NY
12:07
After reading your Gallardo article, would you say, as of now, the White Sox are the most star-and-scrub team in baseball?
august fagerstrom
12:07
them or the Angels
Bork
12:08
Is this where we talk about the big Leafs/Sens deal???
august fagerstrom
12:08
I guess not because I have no idea what that means
hi eno
12:08
hi august
august fagerstrom
12:08
hi hi eno
Rob
12:09
Which makes more sense for the White Sox, signing Fowler and losing the comp pick or signing Austin Jackson and keeping the pick?
august fagerstrom
12:10
I think the latter, which is why there might an argument to be made AGAINST my Gallardo post today saying they should just sign Latos or even someone like Lincecum or Masterson for cheap to build the depth without sacrificing the pick, but I also think the difference of the level of certainty with Gallardo/Latos is much higher than the difference between Fowler/Jackson, so I'd be more willing to part with the 28th selection to ensure you get the 180 IP from Gallardo
12:11
Gallardo+Jackson seems pretty perfect for the Sox
cecilfielder
12:12
What happened to brady aiken? Never heard his name post draft last year
august fagerstrom
12:12
He had TJ in March so he was still working his way back. Every indication I have is that the org is pretty high on him and thinks they got a steal
Raindog
12:13
Agreed with your article about Gallardo fitting better with ChiSox than O's. But the O's still need another pitcher, so I've been imagining someone like Latos, or maybe Lincecum to provide ~150 acceptable innings. Thoughts?
august fagerstrom
12:14
Latos could be a bargain, but as I discussed above, if I'm Chicago and I'm giving up the pick to someone, I'd rather it go to the pitcher because I see a wider gap between Gallardo/Latos than Fowler/Jackson
Petey
12:15
Great album choice. Jack White is the best live show you'll ever see.
august fagerstrom
12:16
Funny story: I saw him play with The Dead Weather at Bonnaroo in, I believe, 2010. He primarily drums in that band, but he came out from behind the set to play lead guitar for one song. It's like 95 degrees and sunny in the middle of Tennessee, mind you, and I shit you not, the moment he plucks a chord on the guitar, the skies open up and a light rain falls. It was the most amazing feeling. It rained for about 4 minutes, or, shortly after he stopped playing guitar. It was the only rain of the entire weekend
Jack White playing guitar opened up the skies
Estivage
12:17
Surely it doesn't make sense for the Rays to be in for Desmond. Small upgrade at best over Miller, won't come cheap and that No.13 pick is massive for small market teams.
august fagerstrom
12:17
yeah I don't see the fit
Richard
12:17
Any health concerns for Wacha & C. Martinez after last September ? Thanks
august fagerstrom
12:18
Shoulders are always worrisome, but you'd rather they happen then, giving them a full offseason to recover and build strength, rather than have something pop up in ST and they have to work through it on the fly
Big Man Boss
12:18
Expectations for Blake Swihart in 2016?
august fagerstrom
12:19
You just hope to see big improvements defensively, because without them he's no longer a major leaguer
Lee
12:20
Is Mark Teixeira a HOFer?
august fagerstrom
12:20
no
GSon
12:20
Are you going to Goodyear for a glimpse, a round or two of golf and the sunshine?..
august fagerstrom
12:20
Still up in the air whether I go. If I do go, a round or two of golf won't have anything to do with it, though, because I have absolutely 0 golfing ability
Jimmers
12:21
Will Marte bat cleanup this year? His numbers last year in that slot: 196 AB's - .327/.373/.464. Or will it depend on the pitching matchup?
august fagerstrom
12:21
using batting order splits is a surefire way to have a bad time
12:22
the only batting order split I'd ever put any credence in is maybe leadoff, only in the first inning. and even then, I'd need a pretty massive sample to convince me that a guy is significantly different in that spot than any other
El Jefe
12:23
2 part question. Better 2016 and better career - Carlos Rodon or Carlos Martinez?
august fagerstrom
12:23
lot of it depends on how Martinez looks early in ST -- see if there's any lingering shoulder issues, but health aside, I'll take Martinez next year and probably Rodon long-term
rustydude
12:24
After a solid debut in MLB last season, Eduardo Rodriguez finished with a 4-ish ERA and FIP. Steamer projects a similar performance in 2016. Meanwhile, reports are that he's working on some new pitches, i.e. cutter. Do you find any reason to be a little more optimistic than the projections show?
august fagerstrom
12:25
I think you can always talk yourself a little bit one way or the other based your own "eye test" or things that projections don't see like the addition of a pitch, etc. If your heart believes he'll be better than the projection, let yourself believe it. For what it's worth, I am an E-Rod fan, generally speaking, but there's nothing specific I can point to that makes me, personally, expect him to beat his projection
Natitude Adjuster
12:25
Who will spend more days on the DL in 2016: Anthony Rendon or Stephen Strasburg?
august fagerstrom
12:25
if this was an actual bet I would bet on the pitcher
Raindog
12:26
Austin Jackson seems like a potential bargain to me. Only 29 years old, 2.3 WAR last year, plays CF worthy defense. Chat hosts keep saying he had a bad second half, but his second half wRC+ was 108. Am I missing something?
august fagerstrom
12:27
I can't speak for others, but I think the general cause for concern with Jackson is that he doesnt have the power or speed to make up for what appears to be rapidly eroding strike zone control, and there have been mixed reviews on him defensively in CF
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