August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 3/1/16
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august fagerstrom
11:43
return of the Tuesday chat!
baseball on the TV!
good day
11:44
Listen to some Grinderman
we'll start up 'round noonish
12:02
alrighty!
12:04
wait, sorry, just a couple more minutes. we're having some technical issues on the back end and I need to see if I can get my post up
I'm gonna go extra long this week to make up for the last two weeks
12:13
so sorry! Now we'll start.
Michael A. Taylor
12:14
I might be better than Ben Revere, right? I should be Washington's starting center fielder, right? Please don't make me cry.
august fagerstrom
12:15
Yeah, you've got more raw talent, but it's still rather raw, and Revere should play more than you because he'll do a better job hitting righties
You should play against most every lefty, though
Nick
12:16
What an unholy dumpster fire the Indians' outfield is going to be on Opening Day. What do you think they will do in CF? Also, grabbed cheap Opening Day tickets before they sold out yesterday. Kluber v Price!! :D
august fagerstrom
12:17
It's really ugly. I'd guess opening day outfield is some combo of Venable/Davis/Chisenhall
You really don't want Rajai Davis playing against RHP, and you probably don't even want him in CF
There's a chance Tyler Naquin cracks camp with the big league club and is the everyday CF but I doubt it
12:18
I think Jose Ramirez is going to get a real chance in the OF, too. If either he or Venable can handle CF, then Venable/Ramirez/Chisenhall should be the OF vs. RHP with Butler/Cowgill/Davis handling lefties
yuck
Josh
12:18
Is Kris Medlen a good/reliable option for the defending champs as a 4-5 starter? I thought he was on the brink of cracking the rotation, but Yost said he was firmly in the rotation.
august fagerstrom
12:19
I think so. Second year after (second) TJ will be interesting.
He might end up being their second best pitcher
Which might say more about the Royals rotation than Medlen, but, yeah, I like Medlen to a certain extent
Slew
12:19
So, the projections say 87 wins for the Indians. Feel high to you?
august fagerstrom
12:20
Yeah, probably by a couple wins
Then again PECOTA says 92
Art Vandelay
12:21
Sonny Gray isn't a terrible comp for Aaron Nola, right? He's just a younger, softer throwing version.
august fagerstrom
12:21
Getting a little ahead of yourself. Until Nola picks up 3 mph on the fastball and obtains one of the best ground ball rates in baseball while keeping the strikeouts, this is a stretch
not saying he can't become that, but not yet
Guest
12:21
Bovada released their win totals today. Do you ever use them as a baseline when making predictions? Did you see any that stuck out to you?
august fagerstrom
12:22
No reason I'd use those over projections, which aren't influenced by people's betting habits
2-D
12:22
Which side are you more on board with concerning Bobby Bradley's organizational and FV ranking, FanGraphs (#9 & 45) or MLB.com (#3 & 55)?
august fagerstrom
12:23
Definitely closer to FG. MLB's rankings always strike me as strange. Bradley's bat would have to be insane for him to be 55 FV with 0 defense/baserunning value
Ty
12:23
Most unhittable pitch you've ever seen? Kershaw's curve? Mo's cutter? Dice K's gyroball?
august fagerstrom
12:23
Mo's cutter
BT-in-VT
12:25
Chad Bettis appeared to have a mini break-out last year. Can you see him capable of a mid 3 ERA this year?
august fagerstrom
12:25
I like Bettis a lot, relative to the team he pitches for
The stuff is good. The situation is not.
Hard to ever predict mid-3's for a Coors guy, but he's my favorite pitcher on that team
Northsider
12:26
Wouldn't it make more sense for a player like Fowler/Desmond to sign with a really bad team for a 1 year contract expecting to be traded at the deadline (ending any chance to get hit with another QO) than to sign with a contender and risk having another QO placed on them?
august fagerstrom
12:27
Seems pretty speculative. Also, gotta find a bad team that's willing to spend money they don't need to spend for 1 year in hopes that they'll (maybe) be able to flip an uncertain product months down the line
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