August Fagerstrom FanGraphs Chat -- 6/7/16
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Erik
12:32
Is deception the sort of thing that wears off as hitters start to see a pitcher regularly? If true, would that put a damper on hopes for Aaron Nola's future?
august fagerstrom
12:32
Thought about going into this
Impossible to say, but it feels like it would be the sort of thing that batters can catch onto
12:33
That says, there's different types of deception. Like, say, for example, a guy with a funky delivery -- that effect might wear off sooner rather than later as guys get used to the timing or the visual
But with Nola being able to spot that fastball on the outer-edge the way he does, I mean, you just can't do much against that
His average fastball is essentially a perfect fastball
N.W.enO
12:33
Is Cutch gonna finish as the Cutch of old?
august fagerstrom
12:33
I'd bet on it
Jay Z
12:33
Bauer looked great last night. Not just the command but I don't remember his two seamer looking the good before. I know its just one start but do you feel like a good stretch is coming?
august fagerstrom
12:34
Yeah, Bauer looks like a totally different guy this year. I'd lost all faith after last year. Consider my faith restored
His two-seamer is filthy -- it's actually what inspired spreadsheet request that led to the Nola post. When he's backdooring it, he's unhittable
12:35
He's focusing on ground balls now and only using the elevated four-seamer as a weapon rather than a go-to pitch that too often got him behind in counts.
Not ready to go back to "ace upside" from the Bauer prospect days, but he's looking more and more like a capable, innings-eater mid-rotation guy. He looked like a future bullpen arm last year.
Erik
12:36
Fun Clayton Kershaw fact: over the past three years, his xFIPs have been 2.08, 2.09, and 2.09. He's pretty good. Maybe about 2.09 xFIP good. Just throwing a number out there.
august fagerstrom
12:36
He's also outperformed his xFIP by 60 points over his career
ZiPS projects his true-talent ERA *and* FIP as UNDER 2.00!!!!!
so silly
Jay Z
12:36
If I named a son August there is no chance people call him "Augie" correct?
august fagerstrom
12:37
Three people call me this
Rizz
12:37
Yesterday, it was said that Kyle Hendricks could never be Greg Maddux. What specifically makes this so?
august fagerstrom
12:37
because Greg Maddux in his prime was the best pitcher of all-time
(fight me)
Bork
12:37
Maybe Hoynes can go to the Cavs game and inspire them to not be trash.
august fagerstrom
12:37
ugh
:(
Ronnie
12:38
DRS (+27) & UZR (-26) have very different numerical opinions regarding Ryan Braun's LF defense in a sample of almost 7,500 innings. Is he most likely just about average?
august fagerstrom
12:38
Huh.
That's bizarre.
12:39
DRS and UZR both agree he's been bad in RF the last two years. His negative UZR over his career is more than double his postiive DRS. Eye test has never done Braun any favors. Most recent data is mostly negative
I'd err on the side of below average. Maybe in the 0 to -5 range
Chris
12:40
Danny Salazar is gonna be ok, right???
august fagerstrom
12:40
¯\_(?)_/¯
mike
12:40
speaking of cleveland. how do you see Naquin contributing to the major league ballclub this year?
august fagerstrom
12:40
still strikes me as a fourth outfielder
Indians have like five of those
Arquimedes Canyonero
12:41
Who would you say is the biggest FIP-buster in mlb right now? Gotta think Marco Estrada is on a short list. He was super impressive no-hitting the Sox into the 8th over the weekend
august fagerstrom
12:41
2.74 ERA over his last 210 innings!
he is so much fun
Jason
12:42
Hard to tell what Nats are doing with Turner. Assuming no one lands on the DL, does he sit in AAA until rosters expand?
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