JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/11/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/11/21

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Ben Clemens

2:56

I could let my bias creep in and say I'm sure it's a bad effect

But I honestly just don't know

Okra

2:56

Would teams be better off leaving guys like Bohm and Ke'Bryan Hayes in the minors until they learn to elevate the ball better? Want your high ceiling prospects to reach their full potential and not much value is rushing to get another Hosmer to the majors. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:56

I mean, no

2:57

Teams who leave their good players in the minors for forever just suck and don't give their fans good players to watch

If you could give me an example of a winning team doing this with success, I'd be more into it

But like.... no

BettsBellingerCaruso

2:58

Is there a Third-Time-Thru the order penalty kind of thing for relievers in a 5-7 game series if they see the same hitters more than once?

On the one hand maybe the hitters definitely will pick up on the delivery after seeing the same guy multiple times in a span of 5-7 days

on the other hand, maybe TTO penalty also comes from the fact that you're seeing the same guy in multiple PAs in a row, and seeing some other arm slots in between lessens that effect

Has there been any research done on this?

Ben Clemens

2:58

Ben Lindbergh wrote something nice about it

https://www.theringer.com/2016/10/21/16043096/mlb-playoff-familiarity-...

Not exactly th e same thing but quite similar

Ned Ryerson

2:58

Is the Tyler O'Neill breakthrough for real?

Ben Clemens

2:59

If by real you mean he's a sometime All Star with streaky but above-average overall offense

then yeah I'm in

fWAR and bWAR

2:59

What do you do when you're looking at two wildly different results for a player? Like Miley right now, or Minor a few years ago. Do you just split the difference (like I do)?

Ben Clemens

2:59

I mean, basically?

If I'm doing a deeper dive I'll look at more granular things, but if I want a rule of thumb? Split em

Over a very long time period, I'd prefer RA9-WAR

I'm not a huge fan of the way B-Ref handles defense

Er, let me rephrase. I'm a huge detractor

LFC Mike