JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/23/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/23/23

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Bill

2:40

You really got the Pablo/Arráez trade wrong. Pablo was significantly worse according to WARin 2022 and Trevor Rogers was never out of the rotation.

Ben Clemens

2:40

Well, I disagree obviously

Guest

2:40

Curious to hear what you think about Dylan Carlson at this point. I'm not sold on him being a plus CF, but I think he can probably stay there adequately for the near future. His batting has me pretty concerned at this point though. His walk and strikeout rates are both trending well, but his low EV has me dimming on the hopes he can be a consistently above average hitter

Ben Clemens

2:40

Yeah, star dimming in my opinion

Looks like Nootbaar is who I thought Carlson was

cool

1

Matt Damon

2:41

MATT. DAMON.

tortycraig

2:41

pretty please, need help like our friend hebrew - Keeping 8 of 10 in Roto 5x5 OBP Auction Draft League – cost savings for Lindor over Turner make sense to you? Gausman in for anyone below?

Leave

T. Turner (44)
Gausman (15)

Keep

Lindor (15)
Jose Ramirez (47)
Julio Rodriguez (20)
Mullins (8)
Robert (8)
Rutschman (6)
Cease (15)
Helsley (6)

Ben Clemens

2:41

Looks broadly right to me. I guess it dpeends on what you'd expect Turner to go for with inflation?

But I'm usually a fan of trying to keep low-cost guys even if they're slightly worse and then just overpay for stars

Uncle Spike

2:41

Can you explain the difference between the 'Plate Discipline' and 'Pitch Info Plate Discipline' numbers that appear on player pages?

Ben Clemens

2:42

It's basically just different sources for the data. The big difference is in how pitches on the fringes of the zone get defined as either in or out of zone

Like, it's all the same swings and whatnot, but how you collect data on the zone borders by pitch is not perfectly consistent

Snow Burrow

2:43

Since you're not the prospects or the HOF guy, I will ask you a question involving both. If you had twenty bucks you had to bet on which of Andrew Painter and Eury Perez was more likely to one day grace the Hall, who you got?

Ben Clemens

2:43

I'd slam Painter despite the uphill climb that starters face these days

Baseball fan

2:43

If a AAA team had 5 healthy Degroms all season, would they finish over .500?

Ben Clemens

2:43

It'd be close

I think WAR math would tell you they'd be RIGHT around .500

Izzy

2:44

Does Luis Urias have any shot at being a 4 win player? Are there any extra gears to his offense or defense? Or is this who he is?

Ben Clemens

2:44

He does, at least in my Urias-loving eyes

2:45

I think he's found his lane as a walks and pull power guy

2:46

He's never going to be a top shelf power threat but I think his sense of the zone gives him a strong base to build off of

I'm less sure about his defense, but I think he could spike a great season for sure

RTJ

2:47

I'm moving from LA to Chicago this spring. I don't have strong attachments to any teams (generally have followed the Dodgers while I've been living in LA, but originally from the Northeast anyway). So tell me: Who do I give my, primarily disloyal, allegiance to: Sox or Cubs? And why?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I'm going to give you an answer that will make you think I'm a bandwagon fan

That's convenient, because I'm all-in on the Purdywagon these days after previously not caring about the Niners much

I'd start with the White Sox but be very fickle about it

2:48

If you're moving to a city, you're necessarily a recent addition to the fanbase, it's more about present fun being high than your fun being enhanced by warm fuzzy memories

So just stick with whoever is more fun and see if you form some memories to feel warm and fuzzy about

Liam

2:49

What is the main culprit in the differing abilities of player development teams within an org? It seems like we've reached the point where every team should be more or less doing the same thing and getting the same results but the dodgers and astros are still lightyears ahead of most others - money? philosophical consistency? other?

Ben Clemens

2:49

I think it's both identifying valuable skills to teach and teaching them, and I disgree that every team is more or less doing the same thing, or even that they all agree on what that thing should be

2:50

It also helps to be more consistent, run a better organization with more cohesion between different employees, all that boring how-too-run-a-good-team stuff

comish4lif

2:50

Wasn't Luis Urias projected to a batting title winner when he was in the minors? Now a career 239 hitters in the Majors.

Ben Clemens

2:50

He's had a very strange arc

2:51

He was a no power dude coming up, then in 2018 he hit Triple-A and started striking out twice as often as he ever had before but also doubled his ISO

then in 2019 he doubled it AGAIN in the minors, up to .285, and came into the majors as more of a fly ball big swings guy

2:52

I'd say his real carrying tools are bat control and pitch selection; it's not often you see someone who can come up with GB/FB ratios in the 2-3 range and then just transition to the 1-1.5 range

Felix the Puss

2:52

Well, I'm happy that Dayton Moore FINALLY got fired, but not convinced that his long time partner in crime Picollo will be any better. I mean, JJ ran one of the absolute worst player development programs in professional sports over the last decade and a half. Is there anything positive you can say about the Royals to ease my mind?

Ben Clemens

2:53

The Royals have been to more World Series than the Cardinals in the last ten years

Rodney

2:53

Is Brett Baty the Mets' 3B come playoff time? Batting fifth behind Alonso - or 7th behind McNeil/Canha?

Ben Clemens

2:55

I'm skeptical of his ability to stick at third, which gives me some hesitation

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat