JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/25/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/25/21

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Ben Clemens

2:56

Legit sleeper pick is a hard one to define

2:57

I don't really think so, though

Their rotation is just not there

2:58

To the point where you can get away with a middling offense like theirs

I think if Evan White takes a huge step forward, Haniger plays a full year, and one of Moore/Long is an above average second baseman

2:59

Then you get to the point where you're like, oh, this is interesting

But they don't really have the length or star power in the rotation to where I'd like that offense to make the playoffs

I think they're a year or two and a few starters away

Guest

2:59

I can't buy the Phillies as a division title contender, so were you including the Miamis when you cited 4 contenders in the NL East?

Ben Clemens

2:59

I think the Phillies are a contender. Clearly a cut below the other 3 but at least in the mix

I suppose given that you could add ALE as well

I think the Red Sox are in a similar spot

3:00

But i agree with you, they're the worst of that group

By a fair margin

Bookie Metts

3:00

Would you rather have Jameson Taillon or Garrett Richards in your 2021 rotation?

Ryan

3:00

What's your take on the Pirates' return for Tailon? And are you taking the over or under on Depth Charts' projected 4.44 FIP for Jamo?

Ben Clemens

3:00

Under

And I'd rather have Taillon

3:01

Not that I think he's an All Star but I just have given up on Richards

I hope he proves me wrong!

But I'm just going to need to see him make 15 starts in a year before I'm projecting him to make it work

3:02

Not that Taillon is a paragon of health but he had three straight healthy-ish seasons at one point

Richards did from 2013-2015, but then he's spent 5 years being broken

B.B. Rodriguez

3:02

The luxury tax is effectively a salary cap now right? Yankees dumping a useful player and prospect is shameful for the sport.

Ben Clemens

3:02

If that were the most shameful thing baseball had done in the last month, I'd be so happy

But yeah

What a joke

Phil

3:03

Are the twins still the favorite in the AL Central. Or do they need more starters to hold of the White Sox? What FA should they target?

Ben Clemens

3:03

I'll give it narrowly to the Sox, but it's a two-team tossup

I think they should sign someone they're familiar with

3:04

Jake Odorizzi

But I think they could also sign a bat and tuck them into LF or DH easily

Guest

3:04

Olney tweeting informed speculation that Mets & Jays may be in on Kris Bryant- if so, he's not really worth that much in the way of prospect capital, is he? Given inconsistency, price, and 1 year of control?

Ben Clemens

3:04

Nah

It'll be a cosmetic prospect basically

3:05

Someone the Cubs can say they got, when what they really got was salary relief

Mike Rizzo

3:05

Say the Nats struggle and decide to blow it up at the deadline. Everyone besides Soto has to be on the table right? Would Strasburg/Corbin be moveable? Scherzer would get something. Turner too. Hand/Harris/Rainey/Suero Maybe? would there be enough of a return to justify a rebuild or just retool and hope for the best in 2022

Ben Clemens

3:05

I'd keep Robles, b/c I don't expect his return to be commensurate with his skill

But if you can get a fair return, sure

I think Stras is probably not movable until we get more health info

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