JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/27/25

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Ben Clemens

2:25

Cease for a deal headed by Enrique Bradfield Jr. and one ML Oriole who can contribute, and then a knock-on trade to address pitching depth

Maddoning

2:25

It seems like the league is not 100% buying into Jack Flaherty's 2024; he wasn't very good before last year. Is that what you're hearing? Slow market for him....

Ben Clemens

2:25

yeah I think more or less teams are buying more into the middle of his career than the bookeneds

I liked Rosen's article about how his fastball is very mid

James

2:25

Over/under 0.5 playoff appearances by the Pirates while Skenes is a Pirate

Ben Clemens

2:25

under

2:25

You know the Astros added Paredes and Walker, right?

Ben Clemens

2:25

Yeah

Believe it or not, I, the writer who is most obsessed with Isaac Paredes of all writers, saw that one

2:26

I think that's a pretty mid team, and they randomly subtracted Kyle Tucker in a year where they desperately want to compete

Jeb

2:26

easy answer, Doug. Cease for Adley and Gunnar.

Ben Clemens

2:26

haha yes

amazing

Jeb

2:26

oh, toss in Jackson to avoid making it lopsided. almost missed that

Les Expos

2:26

Do you see any legs to the Jays possibly signing Alonso?

Ben Clemens

2:26

Oh, I kinda like that

Bullock's

2:26

Research idea I would love to see: is it more likely to produce a championship with 6 years of true-talent 87 win team or 4 years of a true-talent 93 win team? 2 years of a true-talent 97 win team? I wish to quantify how annoyed to be at the GMs of Baltimore, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Tampa, Cleveland, and Minnesota.

Ben Clemens

2:27

Great call, and I wrote this down to try later

Kevin

2:27

As a fan of baseball talk me into the product being worthwhile when 75% of the teams aren't incentivized to materially improve.

Ben Clemens

2:27

I'm actually having this debate with a lot of friends on the side right now

here's my argument: that's true of every profesisonal sport

so you should just pick the one you enjoy

like, you want to escape a world of haves and have nots by going to the NFL?

hope you enjoy Pat Mahomes

2:28

soccer? Hope you enjoy that literally teams are'nt playing the same game

LimuEmu

2:28

Will the Tigers exceed their 2024 win total or will the Plexiglass Principle result in regression?

Ben Clemens

2:28

i think plexiglass principle here, sadly

Kevin

2:28

But to counter your NFL argument - see Jayden Daniels

Ben Clemens

2:28

corbin carroll made the WS in his rookie year

football is hegemonic

basketball, LeBron flies around the country making NBA finals

2:29

though to be fair it's in a fun transitional period right now

I'm sympathetic to the idea that baseball could use more parity

all sports could use more parity

a lot of that invovles the owners trying

DeeBo

2:29

How much do Vladdy Jr and Kyle Tucker break the bank in free agency next year? For a while it looked like Soto had re-set the entire market; but he clearly was the outlier and it looks like the rest of the market hasn't shifted too much off previous valuations. For Tucker especially, hard to think he gets a ton more than someone like Seager or Devers got (though Devers obviously not FA)

Ben Clemens

2:30

I think that Vlad will outdo Tucker b/c I think the Jays are gonna break the bank here

but I think both will sign in that Devers area, yeah

I agree that Soto hasn't really reset the whole market; he's a unique case

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