JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/31/22

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Ben Clemens

2:00

Hey everyone, welcome to the chat

2:01

Gonna be a short one today -- I'm gonna head out at 12 PT to get some time-sensitive errands done

So let's work with haste

Unlike the Chiefs before halftime yesterday, boom football burn

Appa Yip Yip

2:01

Danny Jansen has a BABIP of .230 in over 200 games. Wtf is up with that?

Ben Clemens

2:01

He's a catcher who is unlucky

double whammy

2:02

Like, yeah that's low, but look at what ZiPS and Steamer project for his BABIP, it's super low too

Yordan

2:02

Am I one of the most underrated players in baseball?

Ben Clemens

2:02

Yes

It's weird, people just can't accept DH's being good unless they're Ohtani or something

Yordan's Depth Charts projection this year is for 4.4 WAR

2:03

That's a top 30 hitter in baseball

in overall value, not just with the bat

Jack B

2:03

Do you think a college or HS player is going 1:1 this year?

Ben Clemens

2:03

No idea, but Kevin or Eric would have a better view of this

Teddy

2:03

What do you expect out of JV this year?

Ben Clemens

2:03

Huge error bars, but people who went to his showcase said he looked like old Verlander

as in, the Verlander of old

2:04

so.... short innings b/c I think his stamina won't be back, but top-flight rate stats

Phil

2:04

ZiPS has 22y.o. Dodgers 3B prospect Miguel Vargas projected for a little over 2 WAR and a .164 ISO. It has 37 y.o. Justin Turner projected for a little over 2 WAR and a .163 ISO. Turner has an edge on OBP while Vargas projects to be a better defender. Is this the last year we see JT in Dodger blue?

Ben Clemens

2:04

I think that Turner will be a DH shortly

2:05

but he just put up 4 WAR in 2021, and his contract has a vesting option for next year

Hm, it only vests if he's top 15 in MVP voting, eh

but team option at $16 million, wouldn't be a complete shock for htem to pick it up

2:06

Miguel Vargas, I should point out, was a mid-tier hitter I liked last year

Love him, the guy just hits

I do think there are reasons to wonder about Vargas's defense though

Cob

2:07

Why don't teams use playoff data in player evaluations? Is there anything about it that makes it different than regular season data?

Ben Clemens

2:07

Teams do

There are some differences, level of competition mainly

But they definitely do

Outfield

2:07

I don’t see any viable outfield options for Cleveland by trade or free agency. Discouraging. Any ideas for the team?

Ben Clemens

2:08

Increase payroll, stop doing things like trading Jordan Luplow for pitching when you're good at developing pitching and bad at having outfielders

If you're not gonna spend money, and you're not gonna trade for anyone, well

There just aren't many options at that point

Hot dogs

2:08

Just read that hot dogs and bacon are the two worst foods a person can eat. Is there no end to this suffering?

Ben Clemens

2:09

My wife has been watching What The Health on Netflix and it's pretty anti-processed meat

my response: boo

but also, I'm not surprised

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