JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/15/22

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/15/22

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Ben Clemens

2:39

Meg and I discussed this yesterday as she edited the piece

2:40

There were some uncredited rumors to that effect, but as we did not see any firm reporting, we didn't mention it

I was trying to be charitable but I did not love the Montero deal. I think that was clear in my writeup

Cool

2:41

Thinking about Joey Gallo free agency fits, and gotta say, there may not be a better fit than Tampa Bay. Most big market contenders may be worried about relying on him to be an everyday OF, but Tampa? They'd have more willingness to limit him to positions he can succeed in and are always looking for a good buy-low opportunity. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:41

Yeah, I think Tampa makes a ton of sense

2:42

I think that he's in need of some value rebuilding

2:43

Tampa seems like a good place, and if there's really something to the fact that he just never got comfortable in New York, well, it's a lot easier to ignore fans when attendance is lower, and the Rays fans who do attend games seem very pro-team. I think that would be a good fit

Brooklyngail

2:43

Favorite crockpot recipe? Caveat: Not too spicy!

Ben Clemens

2:43

Hmmmmmmm

I don't have a particular recipe for it but we make a lot of chili in the crockpot, and I think that chili is a perfect soup in terms of spice level. You just set it however you want it

I'm a beans in chili guy, sorry Dan

cool

1

Wolfram-Arm McNulty

2:43

Should a comeback-seeking player, like Conforto or Duvall, actually prefer to join a rebuilding club, so his star shines brighter by contrast?

Ben Clemens

2:43

Yeah, I think that would make sense

2:44

I mean, I can't see into their heart, and winning a ring is a big draw for every player

But if their sole goal is dollar maximization, and they think the organization will do as good a job as anyone else at preparation/training type stuff, I think that going to a place where you'll play every day and be a clear star is a good move

JJ

2:44

Would you ever host a fangraphs members board game night on boardgamearena or equivalent platform?

Ben Clemens

2:45

Oh interesting. That could be a fun thing to do, I need to see how it would work but I've played a number of BGA games over hte last few years

9761014

2:45

Re: Jed’s “intelligent spending: comments- there are reports out there that the Cubs are not going to go to 8 years on Correa, etc this year. I know teams typically don’t do this, but the Cubs supposedly have payroll room this season. So why not structure the contract to be loaded this year - and if you need an 8th year, put it at $10 million?

Ben Clemens

2:46

I think it just depends on what they're trying to avoid with that eighth year. It'll still count just as much for CBT purposes, so if the point of the 'intelligent spending' is cap-related, that wouldn't help

If it's just that the Ricketts don't want to spend much money, well, they're no dopes. You can't tell them 'Hey, I know we said spend intelligently, and I know our best deal was 7/210 for Correa, but what about 7/230, and then we get him for a bargain 8th year for $10 million?'

like, that's just 8/240 with more steps

Anthony

2:47

Think it's more likely Tigers add a C in FA, or make a trade with Toronto or someone else?

Ben Clemens

2:47

make a trade, I think

2:48

It's a good year to be looking for catchers in trade, and I'm not overly enamored of the current free agent crop

Ben

2:48

Mariners signing one of the top SS....buying or selling?

Ben Clemens

2:48

Hmmm.... I think I'll say buying them pursuing one

Seriously pursuing

2:49

I don't know if they'll land anyone, but it feels like there's enough smoke that there's probably a bit of fire

Carly

2:49

You mentioned Benny taking 3 years in your reply above.. are you updating your projections from the 4 years in the Top 50?

Ben Clemens

2:49

Oh no, just didn't look over my estimates and picked a number that would last long enough to make him rich for life

I mean... also, I'm not gonna update my projections at all. I think they're fairly solid for what they are, but one thing they are absolutely not is reported and updated

2:50

I'll leave that to the giant group of really good baseball reporters who actually hear what people are likely to get, and stick to my data-driven forecasting

Paul H.

2:50

Who says no: Xavier Edwards for Victor Robles. Rays get a Kiermaier replacement, Nats get a piece for their next contending team.

Ben Clemens

2:50

I think the Rays say no to this one

Like, Reyes doesn't seem better than Jose Siri to me

2:51

So like.... why?

Brooklyngail

2:51

Would AA really pivot from Swanson to Arcia? That just doesn’t sound like him.

Ben Clemens

2:51

I'd be shocked. I think they're just going to re-sign Swanson

TCM Stan

2:52

Any idea why Jon Morosi seems to be the only national guy breaking anything so far this off-season?

Ben Clemens

2:52

None whatsoever

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