JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/9/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/9/20

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Ben Clemens

2:26

Nope, clearly the real deal

2:27

Meanwhile it's chilly in San Francisco, and also surely warmer than NY

I do not miss the weather, though I do miss the city

Guest

2:27

Do you think Tampa see Nate Lowe as trade bait at this point? How much has his value taken a hit with his mediocre performance in his limited MLB stints?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I don't think his value has taken that much of a hit, because like you said, it's limited playing time

2:29

245 PA's, and he hasn't been unplayable or anything

His batting line is above average, though largely because of BABIP

I think the bigger issue is that bat-only types have limited value period

2:30

The Rays might non-tender Choi, though I don't think they should. At that point, does it really matter if a guy like Lowe is cost-controlled? You can just find someone like that for so cheap

Alex Cora

2:30

My good man, would you mind not slandering me here, I'm sitting in an airport eating Subway and I'd really rather not see that kind of thing

segiddins

2:30

If the rash of non-tenders we've been predicting for this offseason indeed happens, do you think that's going to prompt the players to demand changes in that part of arb in the new CBA?

Ben Clemens

2:31

Hm.... this is a tricky question b/c it implies causation

I think that the players are going to demand changes to the arb system regardless

They may not get it, and this winter might heighten their resolve, but I think that will be their first target for sure

SH

2:32

Dominic Smith or Michael Conforto? Why?

Ben Clemens

2:33

Gimme Conforto, because I trust his production more. I also think he has a higher ceiling as a defender, but Dom has been really great the past two years, after being written off (including by me)

Giuseppe Torre

2:33

Do you think we'll get a full, real, normal baseball season next year? (Well, as "real" and "normal" as you can call it with a DH in the NL, if that comes to pass.)

Ben Clemens

2:33

I think that it's very hard to handicap what will be going on COVID-wise next year when baseball starts

2:34

Things seem like they're going to get worse before they get better, obviously

But there's time for them to get worse, then get better, and still have baseball

I don't think it'd be responsible for me to put a number on that. I just don' really know

David

2:35

Nothing normal, or ok, about DH in the national league.

Ben Clemens

2:35

Yeah, I just don't think this at all

I don't miss pitchers hitting even a little

I miss double switches slightly more, but still not that much

I just don't have THAT much desire to be wowed by managerial decisions rather than wowed by actual baseball

Estevão

2:35

Will the Dodgers low ball JT and how much. Between Rios and Lux getting more AB next year the need just isn't there. It'd be nice to have him but I can't imagine them offering anything really significant.

Ben Clemens

2:36

This is a really interesting question to me. I think they're going to end up with him staying, because it seems like both sides want it

Particularly if the DH remains

But if they were being purely cold-blooded, they would lower the cost or cap the years b/c of Rios and Lux

David

2:37

I like moving runners with the bunt, I like the bench getting used each game for pinch hitters instead of sitting there for days and days. I like lower scoring games and pitching stats staying down.

Ben Clemens

2:37

Those are things you can like. I'm not convinced that that means there's 'nothing okay' about the DH in the national league, but obviously everyone has their own aesthetic

Austin Meadows

2:37

Am I... Gonna have that breakout season? I wanna be a star. I wanna eat shrimp cocktail by the handful.

Ben Clemens

2:37

I don't really see it, but Meadows is somebody I've long had a blind spot about

That looked good at first when he disappointed in the Pittsburgh system, then bad, then okay again

2:38

I don't think it's impossible but I'd bet against it, the Rays seem to be looking at Matthews as a platoon guy and I kind of see why

Austin Meadows

2:38

Why are you speaking about me in the third person? Dude, I'm right HERE

Jacques Pederson

2:38

Any chance that the cardinals package a prospect with Carp to get out of his salary? They seem set to go ultra cheap this year

Ben Clemens

2:38

Nah, very unlikely in my mind

2:39

I do agree with you th at they're going to go cheap, but they've already cut ~40 million from their payroll

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