JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/9/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 11/9/20

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Ben Clemens

2:54

I think that almost everyone who had an atypically awful year this year is going to be underrated next year, because our minds can't help recency bias

2:55

But it was a short season and there were all kinds of health concerns, even if you didn't have COVID; just the timing of the season could have caused all kinds of minor injuries

David

2:55

If the team got who they wanted, does it matter if they considered anyone else? If you know what you want, go get it.

Ben Clemens

2:55

Agreed on this

Well, eh, qualified agree

Given that the Red Sox had already done a real search last year and come up with Cora, I'm not shocked that they hired him again

2:56

There's real value into interviewing other people even if you think you know your target, because you don't have perfect information about how interesting you'll find them

There's plenty of value in giving more people a real shot

I just think that the Sox didn't really want to fire Cora in the first place

Did for public relations reasons, perhaps with Manfred whispering in their ear

and had no hesitation about running it back

Estevão

2:57

Randy Arozarena for Jo Adell. Is there anything more Tampa than that

Ben Clemens

2:57

Lots of things more Tampa than that, because they aren't even banking service time

I don't think Tampa is trading Arozarena, they were clearly believers that he was undervalued, and as much as he was a playoff hero, no team is valuing him like Trout 2.0 or anything, so it's unclear why there would be a lot of surplus in trading him

2:58

Unless you think teams have gone from valuing him less than Matt Liberatore to massively overvaluing him on the strenght of 2020, which I don't buy

Nolan

2:58

Current FG depth charts have the Dodgers, Nationals, Indians, Padres, and Mets as the best rotations in baseball. Are you on board with that top 5, and in that order?

Ben Clemens

2:58

That seems wildly optimistic for the Mets

2:59

The back half of their rotation is a pile of question marks

Nick

2:59

Who is the Alex Trebek of baseball? I.e., someone who is widely beloved and was considered an integral part of the game, even though he never played the game himself?

Ben Clemens

2:59

This is a great question that I now need to think about

3:01

Oh! It's Vin Scully

Some of you guys chimed in with that right as I realized it

So good work team!

Yeah, definitely Scully

Guest

3:01

What would your over/under be for how many years LaRussa manages the White Sox?

Ben Clemens

3:01

I actulaly think it's one year

Well like, 1.5

3:02

is the over under

But I think 1 is the mode outcome

3:03

Could be totally wrong but it's just so easy to see him being like "Wait my players hate me and this sucks"

Nathan

3:03

With Hinch and Cora finding jobs and Luhnow wanting to go to court probably because no one will hire him, was being jerks in the front office the Astros true sin? It takes a lot annoy players enough to rat in each other.

Ben Clemens

3:03

Yes, that's the definite takeaway for me

That's clearly the unforgiveable thing in baseball circles, that they thumbed their nose at the very existence of baseball circles

3:04

Carlos Beltran would beg to differ, I suppose

But there's a reason that Luhnow is struggling to find a job moreso than the rest of them

Despite, if we're being clear-eyed and amoral, being more of a standout in his field than Hinch or Cora

Derek

3:04

There's been no actual reason given for the White Sox hiring La Russa besides his relationship with Reinsdorf, has there?

Ben Clemens

3:05

Well, there's been a smattering of talk about how he impressed them in the interview process, but basically no

Appa Yip Yip

3:05

I think a 14 team playoff could work with 4 wild card teams per league. Division winners get a bye, the first wild card round is a one game play in, the winners move on to a three game series so only one wild card moves into the divisional round. Division winners get enough benefit to incentivize winning, and more fan bases get meaningful September baseball.

Ben Clemens

3:06

I like this format quite a bit more than 16

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