JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 12/16/24

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Ben Clemens

3:09

in terms of total impact, Tucker is going to be more than half of the total moves, so I'd say they're more than half through

Clen Bemens

3:10

Over/under Angels playoff over the next ten years: 0.5

Ben Clemens

3:10

but over

Jamie

3:10

What do you think of the Woo rumors? The offer is apparently Woo for Casas, Luis Guerrero, and Allan Castro

Ben Clemens

3:10

hmmmmmm

3:11

I don't have a great reason for this, but I've been a little lower than consensus on Woo

I don't have a strong view on Guerrero or Castro, either

so I'd say I'm probably the wrong person to ask on this one... but I like Casas, and think that he's a reasonable headliner for young pitching if the throw-ins are interesting to the team trading a pitcher

Bosoxforlife

3:12

The Red Sox won 81 games last year and just added a key part of the equation. I see them as contenders if Anthony or Campbell turn into Jackson Merrill, and do you see them getting anything out of Giolito?

Ben Clemens

3:12

yeah, I think they're contenders for sure, partiuclarly after they add one more hitter, which I think they'll do

3:14

really hard to know with Giolito

you have to assume zero-ish given the injury timeline, but with huge error bars

Jason N

3:14

Read a rumor that Padres were shopping Bogaerts. I’m guessing he would approve a trade back to Boston. Would a framework work around Bogaerts and cease for story, Casas and yoshida?

Ben Clemens

3:14

I must be missing something

why would the Padres do htis?

3:16

they're trading the best player in the deal (Cease) and not even saving much money

paying MORE money in the short term

Story is pretty clearly worse than Bogaerts for 2025

Yoshida is at best a question mark

3:17

this trade would make the Padres a lot worse in the short term, it'd create an awkward positional logjam at first/DH, and it would involve trading a pitcher they're hoping will get them a good prospect or pivot piece to somehow make shortstop worse?

DeeBo

3:18

You'd expect a couple of jersey numbers to be retired if your team makes 7 straight ALCS and wins two World Series. After this latest run, anyone besides Altuve and potentially Yordan get theirs retired by the Astros?

Ben Clemens

3:18

Bregman?

like definitely him

3:19

maybe Verlander, he felt like a key part of those runs

John B

3:19

I've been big on Josh Naylor to the Giants, maybe for a couple of mid level SP prospects. Does this make sense to you?

Ben Clemens

3:19

It doesn't really, for two reasons. One, I'm just not a Naylor believer. This may or may not be rational

3:20

two, I think LaMonte Wade does a lot of what he does, and arguably better

but at worst, at a similar level

3:21

I think that the Giants would be better served to address their rotation or perhaps try to get another star outfielder to pair with Ramos flanking JHL in center

3:22

and given that the farm is not wildly deep, trading meaningful pieces for a 1b/DH feels like it's a stretch

RMR

3:22

How do you think teams process the not-trading-in-the-division conventional wisdom? Tie-breaker? Demand more value? Just don't consider it? Would love to see Suzuki in Cincinnati.

Ben Clemens

3:22

I think it's a tiebreaker, or close to it

3:23

I could see that trade working out maybe, it really depends on what the Cubs want to do. I think that moving Bellinger would happen first most likely

Bosoxforlife

3:23

Few things have shocked me more than the price of mediocre pitching this off-season. I thought that the Giolito deal last winter couldn't be topped but $67 million for Severino has challenged it and this is with starters being used mostly as not much more than openers. It is crazy.

Ben Clemens

3:23

Severino probably got an A's boost, but even including him, I'm with you

josh

3:23

should/will the tigers make a move to consolidate talent into a 3-win player? given the abundance of young role players and lack of above-average regulars (esp in the infield), and also the money to spend on a FA if they vacate a starting roster spot, this feels like a must if they're serious about competing

Ben Clemens

3:24

they should have gone nuts trying to get Kyle Tucker, and probably they did

'consolidate talent into a 3-win player' is an admirable goal

maybe it's Bo Bichette?

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