JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/10/2020

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Ben Clemens

2:29

it's just like, Kingery isn't working out as well as planned. Crawford is gone. Bohm is a maybe, and if he got great that would really help things out.

2:30

Haseley isn't what you'd hope for from an 8th overall pick.

And a lot of the guys we all liked as pitching prospects never quite hit; Eflin, Pivetta, and Velasquez all

I dunno, just seems like they've been a little unlucky in development?

Dean Machine

2:30

I understand the concerns as a whole about the Brewers' mostly unproven rotation. Am I crazy to think that Brandon Woodruff is a safe bet to be an ace for a contending team?

Ben Clemens

2:31

Safe bet? Yeah that's aggressive

In that no pitcher is a safe bet

I like Woodruff a lot though! I think that he's probably a top 20 starter in baseball, right at the tail end of that, when he's healthy

Top 30, at least.

The problem is the other guys

Steve

2:32

NL East looks like a beast and should be fun to watch. Evan shouldn't be too distraught. Any one of thise 4 could win the east of things break right for them. Still a closet Braves fan from watchng Murphy, Horner and Niekro teams.

Ben Clemens

2:32

I agree with this. The Phillies are very much competitive for the division, just not favorites.

Jake, not from State Farm

2:32

who's the player from your childhood/early adulthood/whenever that you irrationally loved? My favorite player growing up was Doug Mientkiewicz and I stumped for Carlos Gomez past the point of being socially acceptable (meaning I still stump for Go-Go)

Ben Clemens

2:33

Weirdly, Craig Counsell. His Strat-o-Matic card was awesome (the DBacks world series year) and I used him a ton in my fake lineups

And loved that he just won all these random World Series. He was the Robert Horry of baseball

As a Cards fan, it was a weird crush. But it is what it is.

TC

2:33

Help... Adley or Julio

Ben Clemens

2:34

Need a little more context; but without knowing anything Adley!

Guest

2:34

Phillies unlucky or bad (in development)?

Ben Clemens

2:34

Paging Ben Lindbergh.

But honestly it's hard to tell from outside

Eric

2:34

If you're a GM of a team, who would you rather have for the next 5 yrs, Gavin Lux or Eloy Jimenez?

Ben Clemens

2:35

Lux for me. I think it's close, but I like Lux's range of outcomes more. I'm a little concerned that in Eloy's bad outcomes he's like a 100 wRC+ hitter or something.

And that's tough when you don't have positional flexibility.

Steve

2:36

Have the White Sox really improved by 12 wins. Isn't there a decent chance that Tim Anderson and Giolito may have just had the best seasons of their careers? Especially Anderson with the crazy BABIP. Keuchel could also see some real regression.

Ben Clemens

2:37

I mean, those are baked in. Anderson is projected for 1.5 less WAR this year than 2019.

2:38

Giolito is projected to lose about the same.

That seems fine to me? Like Giolito might not be a 5 WAR pitcher but you had to know the chance of him going nova was always there.

And I really like the Keuchel/Grandal combo, think that's quite underrated.

The shadow zone pitcher with the best framing catcher

Sounds nice.

X-man

2:38

Hard to see how the Red Sox can compete for the playoffs with 4 starting pitchers

Ben Clemens

2:39

Yeah, they should sign some bargain basement types.

2:40

We actually have them *ahead* of the Rays right now in our projections, which seems wild to me.

2:41

But if Tanner Houck works out, or mayyyyyybe Matt Hall

Yeah look okay

It's not a great situation

I'm hoping a dude who the Tigers couldn't find playing time for saves Boston.

It's tough!

I believe you sent a further comment to this effect, but why not sign Taijuan Walker?

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