JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/20/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/20/24

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Ben Clemens

12:56

it's a really hard depth chart to get a handle on

I definitely do not buy our listed depth charts with Nootbaar platooning and Ivan Herrera part time DH

i think more likely you'd see Jordan Walker shift to DH and Carlson take over in the outfield against lefties

Austin Riley's HoF Plaque

12:57

Has any player name ever sounded more like an 80s teen movie villain than "Hurston Waldrep"?

Ben Clemens

12:57

Robert Hassell III is way up there

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:57

Will this be the year of the Splitter? If so, how much of a straight line to Japanese pitching influence?

Ben Clemens

12:57

I've been calling for the year of the splitter for a bit now

I think that there's a very strong correlation to japanese pitching influence, totally agreed

bosoxforlife

12:57

Early Wynn, Hall of Famer and winner of 300 games used to throw an occasional knuckleball in addition to his regular stuff. That is what you remember when you are 82 and watched him pitch. LOL.

Ben Clemens

12:58

yeah, everyone who is as good as Early Wynn could probably pull that off

justin

12:58

With Xander in mind, at what point is a good fielding 2b as valuable as a average to bad fielding shortstop if the offense is the same?

Ben Clemens

12:58

our positional adjustment factors would say five runs, so a scratch shortstop and a +5 2b are the same

12:59

I think it's a bit more than that

maybe 6-7

Farhandrew Zaidman

12:59

re: Giolito. He was also going through a divorce at the same time as all the trade deadline/waiver shenanigans. I'm sure that didn't help his season.

Ben Clemens

12:59

Yeah that does not sound GREAT

life is tough

Dodgers Blue

12:59

Lawlar vs Neto - who you got?

Ben Clemens

12:59

Neto for me

big fan of his ability across so many levels in a year

Riggs

12:59

"Javy Baez revealed Friday that he's dealt with nagging back and core issues over the last two seasons" and that he's been addressing them this offseason. Any chance he returns to league average at the plate? His K rate is way down since joining DET.

lemons are a fungible citrus

12:59

Which guy who was really good in the past will have a bounce back this year?

Ben Clemens

12:59

Yeah, I'm into this one

1:00

it's been shocking to see Baez not hitting for power

I think if that's injury related you could see a huge bounce back

MB

1:00

To add to the last Q: What's your read on a healthy Trevor Story? Some of his preseason projections (88 wRC+ from Steamer, for ex) are wild.

Ben Clemens

1:00

similar idea but I never liked Story's offense as much

1:01

could see a bounceback but I do think he was a Coors creation more so than a lot of Rockies hitters

Ben

1:01

Breakout season for Michael Harris II? He was REALLY good in the second half last year

Ben Clemens

1:01

oh yes

I'm a biiiiiiiig MH2 guy

what's not to like

CleGuy

1:01

How many AAA clubs could beat the A's in your estimation?

Ben Clemens

1:01

0-ish

yes, funny to dunk on the A's, etc

but they're not THAT bad

while we're here, I think betting markets are wildly low on the A's

1:02

they're hovering around 57 wins over under

which shows you what the public perception is

the lowest model on them is probably Pecota at 64

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