JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/20/24

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Ben Clemens

1:07

a lot of years

like, 6?

1:08

i mean he won't be great for all of them

but if you're not going to pay Zack Wheeler, who are you going to pay?

birds birds birds

1:08

Shouldn't the O's just throw $8-10 million at Lorenzen or Clevinger to make sure they've got another ~100-120 major league quality innings on the roster? I feel like avoiding having their #8 starter or #12 bullpen guy pitch is more important than getting another front of rotation guy

Reliever Relief

1:08

I know the Bradish injury is all the news, but can't the O's also sign some bullpen arms? I was hoping they'd shop a little at the Maton-level.

Ben Clemens

1:08

O's questions, love em

yeah Maton would have been a great fit there imo

1:09

i agree with this take in general

the front of the rotation is good!

well, depending on Bradish

but depth seems like a good thing to aim for

lemons are a fungible citrus

1:09

I have no actual evidence of this, but it feels like teams are being a little more hesitant on long-term pitching and that this hasn't been baked into the FA contracts yet (now and in the future). In other words, I suspect we will see more shorter-term (relatively speaking) deals for pitching, but higher AAV.

Ben Clemens

1:09

could see it

i've been predicting this in my last few free agent contract prediction years

hasn't really hit yet but I do agree it's heading that way

GA Blood

1:09

Wheeler spending 11 seasons with one MLB team and it not being the Mets after the way his team control seasons went would be WILD

Ben Clemens

1:09

right????

1:10

How likely do you see Jose Abreu returning to some semblance of pre-astros form?

Ben Clemens

1:10

over 60%

depending on what you mean by semblance

let's say he hits .260/.335/.450

that's like a 115-120 wRC+

clearly below peak but way above 2023

1:11

I'd call that some semblance

guest

1:11

Anywhere they have ballpark data by month? Wondering if the coastal pitchers' parks play relatively better for scoring in April when the northern parks are in a deep freeze. Or perhaps some parks due to typical spring wind patterns.

Ben Clemens

1:11

I have not seen it anywhere

Bryan

1:11

I'm worried the potential for the Mariners defense to be bad is being ignored, am I just a typical glass half full Mariner fan or is there some merit to this fear?

Ben Clemens

1:11

there's definitely some merit

that said, I like JP Crawford's defense more than Statcast does

1:12

and having him + Julio + Raleigh up the middle is great

Polanco, yeah I suppose I'm scared

but I do like Urias defensively

Dylan Stein

1:12

Are the Brewers Rebuilding or not?

Ben Clemens

1:12

no, they're doing their brewers thing of rebuilding while contending

and I think fairly successfully tbh

Adam

1:12

Xavier Isaac looked a lot more athletic last year and certainly slimmed down from when he was drafted. BUt still projects to be 20 speed and 30 field?

Ben Clemens

1:13

I don't know a ton about him

but my model looooooooooved him

that said, the error bars are really big in A ball

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