JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/5/24

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Ben Clemens

3:14

but let's say... 20%

Morbo

3:14

It's been awhile since I've made a chat: what have I missed the last several months?

Ben Clemens

3:14

From me, not much! Overall, you've missed some awesome chats and then also some weird discussions of food from Dan

greenfrog

3:14

Do you think Ohtani will break down physically in a years from an accumulation of injuries, making his 10-year contract an albatross for the Dodgers?

Ben Clemens

3:15

I definitely do not

It's hard for his contract to be an albatross given the marketing half of things

and the fact that he could just be a really good hitter

Dan

3:16

Your a GM of a 500 team trying to win a world series in the next two years. Your boss says I'll double your payroll budget and and approve all trades but you have to give my grandson 400 at bats a year. Are you in?

Ben Clemens

3:16

Oh man, good question

I think I'd probably be out unless the owner's grandson was already a major leaguer

or like, Robert Hassell the First

Tyguy

3:17

Related to above: would FG ever consider having writers make their picks more probabilistically? In other words, which team (in each league, or division, etc) is most underrated by the prevailing odds of making playoffs or winning World Series? That would be more interesting to me vs a regurgitation of mostly favorites (we all know the Dodgers are stacked!).

Ben Clemens

3:17

Probably not, but don't worry, I just do it anyway

Baseball Guy

3:17

Have you ever noticed a trend that teams with elite bullpens overperform in the regular season compared to projections/expectations? the common sentiment was always been pitching and defense, but I'm starting to think that locking in the final 3 innings is actually more of an indicator. Think last years orioles -- not incredible pitching, but that backend of the bullpen was lights out.

Ben Clemens

3:17

I did think this but I've never been able to find much evidence, and Dan hasn't either

Eric

3:17

Re: PCA. Are Cubs fans who say he can fill a Bellinger-sized whole on the roster just coping or are they close enough to right that not getting Bellinger back isn't that bad for them?

Ben Clemens

3:17

I'm not really the guy to ask about that, but prospect week is coming soon

greenfrog

3:19

The Blue Jays haven’t won a single postseason game during their current window of contention. Bichette and VGJ are controllable for two more seasons. Is the front office completely blowing this opportunity to win a WS?

Ben Clemens

3:19

Mmmmm.... I don't really know how to disentangle bad outcome from bad process

3:20

I did like trading for Berrios at the time

and honestly they'd do that deal again even though he's underwhelmed on the whole

certainly the team has not met expectations though

Alright on that note, I have to head out and make my lunch, but thanks everyone for a delightful chat today

Let's do it again sometime soon

Have a wonderful week

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