JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 2/6/23

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Ben Clemens

2:25

Oh I totally agree

I would have him in my top 5 starting pitchers

Guest

2:25

Is it only a matter of time before Milw trades Burnes to the Dodgers for a prospect haul? #1 pitchers won't come cheap.

Ben Clemens

2:25

I do think they're gonna end up dealing one of him or Woodruff. If I were them I'd deal Woodruff and keep Burnes, we'll see

re: poutine

2:26

(No idea where that name came from but I left it).....nootbar over seiya and dansby?

Ben Clemens

2:26

Look, you should probably take Dansby over Nootbaar, but I'm just a sucker for the potential

Nootbaar over Seiya for sure though

Derek

2:26

I think the Cards are pretty clearly miles better than the Cubs, but I'm pretty sure Dansby Swanson would be something like the Cardinals' 3rd best position player... (Though not their 3rd best hitter necessarily)

Ben Clemens

2:26

Haha yeah yeah, Dansby good, it's true, though I don't think he's definitely better than Noot or Tommy Edman

But he's definitely in a tier with those guys

Insert Witty Name Here

2:27

Which current player would you like to see do the TB12 method and end up playing until their 45?

Ben Clemens

2:27

Brandon Nimmo, but he sprints to first base the whole time

Teddy

2:27

Have you explored any of Ottolenghi's books? Almost every recipe in "Flavor" is a 55-65, with some 70s sprinkled in (in my opinion)

Ben Clemens

2:27

No but that sounds like a great recommendation so I'll try it and report back

Cito's Mustache

2:27

If owners new how high Steve Cohen was going to set payroll, do you think they would've voted to approve the Mets sale two years ago?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I think they still would've, but I'm certainly not confident

Donovan

2:28

Hi Ben, I am quite worried that Brendan Donovan will end up being a flash in the pan because his exit velo is quite bad. Sure, he'll take a ton of walks, but as the Church teaches us: Walks Along Will Not Sustain wOBA. Is he in line for a major regression?

Ben Clemens

2:28

Yeah.... I mean, he's got really good plate discipline and it's not impossible that he makes it work in a Kwan/Arraez lite kinda way

2:29

His skills are such that I do think he'll be able to sustain something like average production just by hitting a ton of singles and not striking out much. But he's definitely a future empty average kinda guy

TMI, but needs to be asked

2:29

Would Brandon Nimmo incorporating the TB12 method mean he'd also have to take a mirror selfie in his underwear?

Ben Clemens

2:29

I mean, of course

He'll also have to give up eating nightshades

2:30

Bright side: he'll get to marry and then divorce a supermodel and golf against Peyton Manning

marginal utility player

2:30

I think Steven Matz has a chance to be the Cardinals best starter this year. That's not saying all that much, but his FIP and xERA/xwOBA last year were wayyy better than his ERA, and his xFIP was even more impressive because of how high his HR/FB rate was

Ben Clemens

2:30

Yeah, I think Matz has flipped over into underrated territory

Chip

2:30

Hi Ben, hoping you can speak some faith to Brandon Lowe after a down and injured season. My AL-only league has most of the top 2b eligible guys kept and basically I will be paying for him or shopping in the Kemp, Gordon, Schoop tier.

Ben Clemens

2:31

The injuries are definitely a risk. But I don't think that anything in his profile screams that he can't keep doing it, so you're betting on health and depending on what you're keeping him for, I think that's a very reasonable idea

2:31

Do you think Steven Kwan is an all-star in CF ? and if you were the guardians, what would you do with the 6 45-50 FV (and Rosario) 2B/SS guys they have

Ben Clemens

2:31

mmmm.... I'm not sold on him being an average center fielder, though he's undoubtedly very good in left

2:32

bat wise, he's luxury Donovan, and that plays, but I think his defense would determine whether or not he was an All Star there. Also, though, it's not gonna happen while they have Straw

Steven

2:33

If it was swoBA (statcast wOBA) and not xwOBA (expected), would people ever use them?

Ben Clemens

2:33

Fewer people would for sure. Name is a key part of statistic utilization

Matt

2:33

What do you think is a realistic goal for the phillies this season?

Ben Clemens

2:33

Make the playoffs as a wild card and see what happens after that

T-Wizzy

2:33

Is Carson Kelly going to be a DBack come opening day? Feels like a bounce back candidate who could help a team with a need behind the plate

Ben Clemens

2:34

Hmmm.... I haven't heard any smoke about him moving, but it does make sense. I've been a long-term believer in Kelly, in the 'he has all the tools it's just a matter of putting them together' way

2:35

I still think that's true, so if you're a team that is in need of a catcher I think you should see if the DBacks are willing to let him go for cheap to give Moreno more run. I don't think they will, because Kelly is a great guy to learn from and by all accounts a great clubhouse guy (which seems valuable while you have a rookie catcher), but it's worth asking

Theo

2:35

does Jordan Walker make the opening day roster? I feel like he should but the Cardinals have so many guys who need ABs...

Ben Clemens

2:36

I don't think he should, to be honest. He's awesome, obviously, but he's still 20 and hasn't played in Triple-A. It'd be one thing if there was an obvious place to play him but I don't think he's one of the team's best 9 position player options right now, so why rush him when he has legit things to work on in Triple-A still (dealing with the soft stuff/pitch around approach that he'll likely see in the majors, basically)

Pedro

2:37

Should Astros be concerned about Framber Valdez this year? Threw a lot of innings in the regular season, threw a lot of high stress innings in the playoffs and the WS, and now more added on the WBC? Thanks

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