JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/11/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/11/24

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Ken

3:15

Do you think the Royals will get close to 81 wins this year? In a weak division, I feel they should get pretty close

Ben Clemens

3:15

Yeah, fairly close

I think that their pitching additions really help on that front

I think they end up ahead of the Guardians, very hot take I think

cool

1

heyhey

3:15

Would you rather have Bo Bichette for 10/350 and Vlad goes to the Yankees or the opposite?

Ben Clemens

3:15

Bo and give Vlad to the Yankees

3:16

as a long-term card-carrying 'vlad is just a good first baseman not an mvp' member, I would prefer the tougher defensive position guy

Marshall

3:16

RE: Mookie at shortstop, I was referring to best overall, not best defender.

Ben Clemens

3:16

ohhhhh

Yeah, haha

Right now I think he's the best shortstop

Tim

3:16

Orioles roster looking CROWDED with the way some of the youngsters are playing. If you had to guess today, which prospects break camp with the club? Holliday? Cowser? Kjerstad? Stowers? Mayo?

Ben Clemens

3:17

Wow, that's a tough one. I'm not plugged into the ins and outs of daily roster stuff like the beat writers are, so I'm not sure you should take my word for it, but I'd go with Holliday most likely, Cowser next, then Mayo

Ken

3:17

Is Volpe going to be in the same conversation as Elly?

Ben Clemens

3:17

Sure, "let's talk about some young shortstops"

i'm just Kenley Jansen

3:18

Greinke gonna be a mid-season pickup?

Ben Clemens

3:18

hmmmmmmmmmmmm

I don't know! I want Greinke on my team as a fan

I truly don't know how much he has left, or what he's looked like in workouts

Grandal Richuk

3:18

If Mookie ends up playing SS full time, is he the MVP favorite if the offense stays steady? Has anyone won MVP as an outfielder and an infielder?

Ben Clemens

3:18

I don't know the answer to the second question but I have to assume no

3:19

I think that I'd still take Acuna as the favorite, and Mookie is second right now

that sounds about right to me

Farhandrew Zaidman

3:19

If we're talking about young shortstops, what's your handicap for the chances McLain ends up with the more productive career over Elly?

Ben Clemens

3:19

35%

I'm a big McLain fan too

I pushed him and Elly both perhaps irresponsibly high in my trade value rankings last year

These was one!

3:20

I'm pretty sure Robin Yount did the MVP IF/OF thing.

Ben Clemens

3:20

Oh hey, you are correct

I did not realize he won the '89 MVP, sorry to my Brewers fan relatives

Marshall

3:20

Can a team ever have "enough" offense so that it makes sense to punt offense at a position in favor of defense? In other words, are there nonlinearities that make score an additional run less valuable than saving an additional run?

Ben Clemens

3:21

Wonderful question that I don't think I have enough time to dig into here

but I think the answer is pretty close to no

non-linearity kind of works the other way

the better the rest of yhour offense is, the more PA

Greg

3:21

Hank Greenberg also did it, first base and left field

Ben Clemens

3:21

okay fine, I was wrong

bosoxforlife

3:21

What do the Orioles do? So many young players who look like they belong and so few positions. I think Mike Elias is afraid of making the next "Jeff Bagwell for ........ " and getting nothing in return.

Ben Clemens

3:22

Look, respect to them for trading for Corbin Burnes. That's the kind of trade I've been saying they should make. I think that they'll end up making a deadline deal this year to ease some of the prospect pressure, but if I were them, I'd be willing to wait a little bit to see who pans out and who doesn't now

Danny Valencia

3:22

are you a believer in the Dominic Canzone breakout? (>2.0fWAR)

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