JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/2/20

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Ben Clemens

3:11

I believe so. I like Montgomery more than the projections, though I do worry about his ability to hold onto a spot when everyone comes back

Scooter

3:11

do you feel bad for me too?

Ben Clemens

3:12

Eh, it's all relative. In total probably no? He's done alright for himself. But that doesn't mean the current situation isn't lame.

He's certainly a victim of circumstance

3:13

Just b/c he hit a few hard 8's (or your gambling metaphor of choice) to get to this point doesn't mean you can't be sad about the bad break

scully's silky sound

3:13

thoughts on julio urias as a legitimate top of the rotation guy in years to come? dude is only 23 and has some serious stuff

Ben Clemens

3:14

Eh, I'm skeptical. Even as a prospect a lot of his value was in the fact that he was high floor

And injuries aside, he does seem that.

3:15

But he's really a 2.5 pitch guy, and while his fastball has played better than I expected, I don't know how much of that he'd hold starting rather than relieving.

I don't really believe in ceilings for prospects (or post-prospects), b/c like, what does that even mean

But I don't like Urias's odds of becoming the next Walker Buehler or anything.

diadem

3:15

Who has the better year, Aguilar or Thames/

Ben Clemens

3:16

Depends on what metric you're scoring it. I think Thames will have better rate stats b/c with Zim and Kendrick, the Nats are set up really well to put him in great spots to succeed.

Aguilar is going to be out there every day

3:17

Unless Garrett Cooper takes his spot, which would require Aguilar being bad I think.

Since there's no platoon anything going on there.

3:18

We project them for similar PA on depth charts, but eh, I'm probably lower on Cooper than we are I guess.

Sanford

3:18

Speaking of watching deGrom this year, I heard Eric compare Tahnaj Thomas to him on a recent FG Audio--have you had the chance to check him out before/do you have a take on him that's not on THE BOARD?

Ben Clemens

3:18

I did hear that. And I'm now going to try to watch some of him this year

It's still amazing to me that deGrom is a converted infielder

3:19

Like, look at that guy. He just looks like a pitcher

Rde3

3:19

I was just offered c. Martinez, Civale & arraerz for woodruff in a keeper lge! Thoughts

Ben Clemens

3:19

That sounds like a lot for Woodruff

I mean, it's three uncertain commodities

3:20

But unless you have severe roster crunch, it's kind of a go-wide strategy; I like your odds of one of the three hitting at least.

And Woodruff is hardly can't miss.

DPD from EGV

3:20

Do you think Ahmed Rosario can make the jump to being a top 8 SS this year?

Ben Clemens

3:21

Basically no?

I mean, I think he should be at least an average player, which is great considering where he's been in the past.

But I think math just works against him.

He's not ever going to hit for a ton of power

3:22

At least, I certainly don't think so.

And he doesn't walk that much

So there's just a lot of pressure on his defense to get him to a top 10 shortstop level

And eh

3:23

Not that he's a bad defender. The tools are there

3:24

But I just don't see it

Durst Burst

3:24

Lourdes Gurriel is a name I keep seeing pop up as a potential breakout. Are we buying it and what do you think we can expect out of him?

Ben Clemens

3:26

He has the ingredients, and I think he'l have the playing time. I am not sold on the power. He got a lot of mileage out of putting the ball in the air and I think betting on that again is maybe risky.

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat