JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/25/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/25/24

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Bill James

2:02

Ken Rosenthal said baseball GM’s are colluding, they just all have the same heritage and Wall Street backgrounds so they naturally think the same. Isn’t the lack of diversity in baseball execs concerning?

Ben Clemens

2:02

It's extremely concerning

it's a closed ecosystem, so in theory if everyone just sticks with the same antiquated and/or suboptimal ideas forever, it'll be fine

that's kind of what's worrying about it. there's no forced innovation in MLB as long as the teams control the hiring and firing

Duff

2:03

Pretty depressing seeing fan reaction online to the Shohei scandal. One silver lining, I guess, is it should be pretty straightforward to find out if bets were made on baseball, right? Assuming the answer to that is no, do you think that will take a lot of the air out of this scandal?

Ben Clemens

2:03

I'm not sure that this illegal bookmaker has perfectly annotated and definitely not altered records to look through, you know?

that doesn't really feel like the way things go in real life

6 man rotations

2:03

When will baseball bite the bullet and embrace 6 man starting staffs? It would help save arms and keep these guys fresh. The only drawback is the need to expand rosters

Ben Clemens

2:04

I don't really agree with this, particularly the expanding rosters part

'oh let's let teams use more pitchers' seems like an awful plan to me

just chop everything up worse than it already is

teams should use six man rotations anyway, even with roster restrictions

trophy

1

McGraw45

2:04

Jackson Holliday - is it not service time related if they keep him down? Or do most consider the new incentives plenty to thwart that?

Ben Clemens

2:04

Okay, so let's game it out

if he finishes top 2 in RoY voting, then it counts as a full year anyway

2:05

so the old send someone down for two weeks to avoid a full year of service time plan mostly won't work

Rutschman got a full year, for example, even though the O's gamed his time badly

2:06

so if you're going to hold him down to gain on service time, you need to do it for a long enough time that you have a good shot at him missing the top 2

2:07

otherwise, it would make sense to have him on the opening day roster to qualify for the RoY incentives

namely, if a top prospect opens the year on the roster and wins RoY, you get a pick after the first round

and if they finish second or third, you get an international draft pick i think?

cool

1

2:08

Oh, there's a backup one as well I think? You can finish top 3 in MVP or Cy Young before hitting arb

2:09

I guess those international draft picks got stricken indefinitely

you know, what with the international draft not happening and QO's staying

but i think in theory if the status DOES change you get picks/

not 100% clear

anyway the point is, the way the incentives are set up, you shouldn't hold someone down if they're going to get enough time to contend for RoY

Alex

2:09

What are your thoughts on Jackson Merrill in CF?

Ben Clemens

2:09

I don't like it

2:10

but I haven't seen a ton of him out there so I am willing to be proven wrong

Jordan Montgomery

2:10

Where am I signing? When?

Ben Clemens

2:10

Let's say the Yankees, when Carlos Rodon breaks down

Rocky Road

2:10

Thoughts on the Tovar extension?

Ben Clemens

2:10

I love Tovar, and I think the extension makes a ton of sense for everyone

Manfred

2:10

His legacy will be getting caught juicing balls by a rocket scientist, right?

Ben Clemens

2:10

Unless the expansion teams pan out well

otherwise, uh, yeah

2:11

so he really needs the expansion teams to pan out

Guest

2:11

By the time July rolls around, has Joey Votto supplanted Vogelbach as the lefty bench bat, or are neither of them on the team at all?

Ben Clemens

2:11

Ugh, I kinda think neither

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