JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 3/5/24

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Ben Clemens

12:23

and agreed, it's truly sad

Princess Leia

12:23

Help us Obi-Wan Clemenobi! You're our only hope!

P.s. will the Yankees sign Snellzilla?

Ben Clemens

12:23

I don't think so

12:23

How do you think Jackson Chourio will fare in his first major league season?

Ben Clemens

12:24

I hate to say that the median expectation is for a below average season with huge flashes of power and inconsistent results, but I mean.... it is

Bob Loblaw, Esq.

12:24

Will there ever be any gambling advice added to FanGraphs?

Ben Clemens

12:25

I doubt it

I don't have anything in particular against gambling, I've been known to place the occasional wager

and this is me, not FanGraphs, to be clear

but I find most gambling writing to be a little gross

12:26

it's just hard to avoid it feeling grim and transactional

biggie

12:26

Over/Under $200 million guaranteed when Snell and Montgomery eventually sign?

Ben Clemens

12:27

Under at this point, which I truly did not expect going into the year

Ross

12:27

Do you think the Mariners have a real chance of winning the division this year?

Ben Clemens

12:27

oh yeah, absolutely

David

12:27

Why don’t teams at or near the luxury tax have front loaded deals with lots of subsequent $1 million player options to lower the AV? Is there anything that prevents them from doing this?

Ben Clemens

12:28

You can do this a little, I think. The Padres deals with Wacha and so on are like that

Last year's deals

but I think the league office would disallow the contracts if they were obviously designed to circumvent the CBT with unrealistic provisions

David

12:28

If the Cubs wanted to free $ for Montgomery, is Drew Smyly at 9.5M AAV for 1 year moveable? Any net value one way or the other?

Ben Clemens

12:28

I think he's slightly underwater

12:29

but could be moved for sure

people who can pitch every fifth day is valuable

Jerry D

12:29

How would you grade the front office offseason for the M's considering the last second about face by ownership to slash payroll during a prime contention window?

Ben Clemens

12:29

A for the front office

D for ownership

12:30

I'm truly quite impressed by their ability to build a reasonable roster in the face of this nonsense

buffy the umpire slayer

12:30

Not your issue but how can you find out if projections have been updated? Kevin Pillar is a CHW but DC, ATC & BATX do not show him as such. Adding to his team will impact his and other players projections due to playing time changes.

Ben Clemens

12:30

They get updated fairly frequently, I bet we're talking sooner rather than later

Princess Leia

12:30

Elly De La Cruz goes peak Tatis Jr. this year. You heard it here first!

Ben Clemens

12:31

As someone who ranked Elly in my top 10 trade value last year.... I hope you're right haha

Bail me out

Big 3

12:31

True or False: Top to bottom, the Mariners have the best starting rotation in baseball?

Ben Clemens

12:33

I think it just depends on what top to bottom means

I would take the Dodgers by a hair b/c I think their top end is so good

but if you're saying who has the best #5 starter, I would give the edge to the M's

Okra

12:33

Am I wrong to think a huge inefficiency in prospect valuation is the penalty for moving down the defensive spectrum? Over the last 3 years, here are the MLB league avg wRC+ for 3B/LF/RF - 97/100/104. Why do we keep pretending it's such a high offensive bar to clear if you don't play up the middle?

Ben Clemens

12:34

It's about the defensive bar, not the offensive bar

it's about who can replace you

many more people can stand in left than at third

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