JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/12/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/12/21

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Ben Clemens

2:22

Not too high, I don't think. Castillo is a house, and Ohtani's real life value outstrips his fantasy value

Just for workload reasons

True Submariners

2:22

The other day (yesterday woah time) on SNLA with Hersh and Joe Davis, the pair compared Trea Turner to Mookie Betts (in between talking/gushing about Valuenzuela). I looked at it with a friend and if Trea develops a *tad* more power he very well could be the shortstop Mookie. Thoughts?

Ben Clemens

2:22

First, the Valenzuela stuff was awesome

2:23

Second, I don't really think so?

2:24

In his career, Turner has struck out 18.1% of the time and walked 7.6% of the time

Betts is at 12.9% and 10.2%

Those are HUGELY different

That's not to say Turner can't be a really good player

He IS a really good player

2:25

But Mookie's greatness comes from the fact that he does everything so well, and Turner would need to improve in several categories to start looking similar

LFC Mike

2:25

Appa Yip Yip if I hear one vuvezela I will hold you personally accountable. That noise is still in my head from the WC in South Africa. A horrible idea.

Ben Clemens

2:25

You've heard it here, a grudge match between two chatters

Knebel

2:25

The Brewers were going to non-tender Knebel. Not that they should of, but they didn't want to pay him Arb $ coming off that injury and bad 2020.

Ben Clemens

2:25

They shouldn't have been planning on NT'ing him!

2:26

Clearly he had value, based on the fact that they received value for trading him, but I think they sold too low

I guess if it was that or JBJ

I mean I'd probably take JBJ? It's close I think

Guest

2:27

I don't mean to be a jerk, but I am trying to see the Padres in every park. Up to 24 or 25. Five factors: 1) Food (how good and how local); 2) Beer (same); 3) View from behind home plate up high; 4) Surrounding area; 5) Cool stuff at the park

Ben Clemens

2:27

My factors are: 1)food 2)sightlines 3)beer 4)views

2:28

Weather is an overriding factor but that's harder to control

BringBackDeSpanielHair

2:28

Is Travis Shaw back to being good now?

Ben Clemens

2:29

It kinda feels that way

I never quite understood why he got bad?

2:30

And I'm not saying he'll stay this good

But he just suddenly couldn't hit anything, and now his contact rate went way back up

Sad, Confused Marlins Fan

2:30

Knebel is nasty but isnt he always a pitch away from losing control or getting hurt? Dodgers have the money to afford to make those mistakes. Brewers dont right?

Ben Clemens

2:31

So, I hear this argument a lot about small-market teams (the Brewers payroll is around $100mm)

I basically don't agree with it? Like, sure, the Dodgers can afford to sign many injury risks and see who shakes out because of their budget

But if you can pick between 90% dominant reliever 10% hurt

2:32

and 100% decent fourth outfielder

I'd argue that if you're a small market team, you SHOULD be embracing the risk

If you smooth away all the variance, you're making it harder on yourself

Because you can't spike a good season out of someone

2:33

Now, maybe they just thought that Knebel wasn't 90%/10% but instead 50% good 50% washed

But I don't like the idea of small teams avoiding risk

LFC Mike

2:33

Ben, vuvezales apart.....has the closer job in Cleveland gone firmly to Clase..or will it take a few more saves to get him 100% entrenched....

Ben Clemens

2:33

I think it'll take a few more saves to get him entrenched, but I think he'll end up winning the job

2:34

I am regretting trading him in an Ottoneu league

cortezthakillah

2:35

Is there any hope for Keston Hiura? I fear he will begin losing time to Vogelbach.

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