JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/15/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/15/24

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Ben Clemens

2:21

Yes

I'll answer both of those in a bit more depth after I grab a coffee, one sec

2:22

Okay, back

Pitching particularly against the White Sox needs to be taken with a grain of salt b/c who are their good hitters?

they're just not that good right now

it's like a Triple-A lineup

As for Polanco, 'is he cooked?' has been a running question for four years

2:23

It's not like he's been abysmal this year, even

but i dunno, it always seems like he's right on the precipice of it not all working out. maybe he tipped over finally

Will

2:23

The Mariners (as with Julio) started slow last year and seem to be doing that again. At what point is that actually a cause for concern other than just variance?

cool

1

Ben Clemens

2:23

Longer than they'll keep this core together

we'll never know

Maddoning

2:23

Given all these "Is he cooked" questions, would you consider doing an early-May "Cooked, or Not Cooked" feature on players getting off to slow starts? What's "real", and what's just luck/noise?

Ben Clemens

2:23

yeah, I've done things like that before

2:24

I'd probably wait a little bit more to do it, but I'll find some way to bag up a bunch of hot starts together and put them in one article

Ted

2:24

What's up with Jose Ramirez? I know it's early, so trying not to overreact, but he's not walking, not running and it seems like he's swinging at everything.

Ben Clemens

2:24

I'm not worried just yet

2:25

I agree with you that the biggest concern is plate discipline though

he seems to have occasional spikes like this, but if it keeps going it'll be time to start figuring out what's changed

https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-ramirez/13510/graphs?statArr=10...

deBride

2:26

Does your personal assessment of the Cardinals division odds currently fall closer to your employer (17.9%) or PECOTA (32.6%)?

Ben Clemens

2:26

if you asked me I would have said 25%

so that's like bang on in the middle, I guess ever so slightly closer to us

Mark

2:26

What do the Orioles do with Austin Hays? Even ignoring his really rough start he's never seemed like a longterm piece. Considering how Cowser is playing right now and the presence of other guys looming in the minors like Kjerstad, Stowers, and even Norby getting some OF reps, do you think Hays gets moved this year?

Ben Clemens

2:26

Whos' going to trade for Austin Hays?

2:27

He's close to free agency and an average player

I think he might be a nice offseason piece or whatnot

but if the O's trade him, it's going to be to free up a roster spot, not because someone offers them some unbelievable bargain

Guest

2:28

Re: Hays, I hear the White Sox have some ABs available

Ben Clemens

2:28

Right! To be clear I think Hays is a viable starter for a lot of teams

I just don't think those teams are gonna trade the O's valuable prospects for him or anything

Guest

2:29

honestly on Langford - the guy is running an excellent K rate, he’s walking and he’s running an ok average. If you told me he was holding his own two weeks in and that the power just hadn’t shown up yet, for a guy who spent like 15 minutes in the minors, that feels like a victory

Ben Clemens

2:29

I agree with that

I also think that the super high end outcomes not getting realized are at least a bit of a downer for people who had him as #1 ROY by a mile

Okra

2:29

I'm of the belief that pitchers these days only have so many balls to throw before they break. So why not just call up Skenes now if you are the Pirates? They are off to a great start in a toss-up division. He would not be wasted.

Ben Clemens

2:30

I have no reason to disagree with you here

I'd do it

TomBruno23

2:30

Operation Bulk Innings, An Update: Cardinal SP 28th in FIP ahead of Rockies and White Sox. Going well so far!

Ben Clemens

2:31

Yeesh

PhilDiggety

2:32

Was Pfaadt's 2023 postseason a fluke?

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