JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/20/20

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Ben Clemens

3:09

Lol

I like Riley!

I might be the only one, it certainly feels that way sometimes.

But I'll say 40%

3:10

Maybe higher, maybe like 55%, but with a lot of those outcomes in the 10 range

He obviously wasn't great in 2019, but the power is so real that if he can just get his strikeouts down to oof instead of OOOOOOOOF everything will work.

Reid

3:11

I find the best parts of OOTP are the outlier seasons that can *theoretically* happen in real life but don't because there's only one season a year, etc. etc. 2023 Wander Franco just posted a 12.5 WAR season for my Rays on the back of a 199 WRC+.

Ben Clemens

3:12

Definitely agree.

OOTP is fun for a lot of reasons, but crazy goofy seasons are some of the best.

Pepper

3:12

Maybe it scares me that he’s busy retooling his swing after he got taken advantage of during 2nd half. Riley, that is.

Ben Clemens

3:12

Yeah, it's a real worry. I think his bust rate is higher than you'd like for a top 30-ish prospect

3:13

But I dunno, I just think his carrying tool is so loud that he can probably at least make something work.

Pi Rate

3:13

Do you have a current comp to Oniel Cruz once he's up?

Ben Clemens

3:13

Godzilla destroying Tokyo

Derek

3:13

I think amateur drafts for all sports just make for fundamentally uninteresting television... Networks have done what they can in recent years to make them watchable but I have a hard time seeing this draft making for good television. This maybe (likely?) won't necessarily correlate with the ratings, but ultimately it's just a list of names next to a list of teams, and this year without much of the manufactured pomp & circumstance that has come with the NFL draft in particular

Ben Clemens

3:13

Long-past callback alert, but yes, I agree.

3:14

I have at times watched the NBA draft for the funny suits, but that doesn't even seem to happen anymore.

There's no real drama that you can't get from phone alerts.

So I'm not going to waste my time watching it. The pacing is awful.

Pepper

3:15

Roger Clemens will challenge Verlander......but that’s just the road rage talking.

Ben Clemens

3:15

With a sawed-off bat

Sam

3:15

Another documentary idea: Satchel Paige, if only to try to discern between the man and the myth

Ben Clemens

3:16

I'd watch the heck out of this. Bill Veeck, too, though Veeck as in Wreck kind of does that already.

I'm not sure how much I believe the stories in Veeck as in Wreck, though, so that complicates that one.

blue

3:18

What will Padres Patino turn into?

Ben Clemens

3:19

I'm not sure I can top my Godzilla comparison, but Patino is really fun to dream on

Here's Eric on him:

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-53-prospects-san-diego-padres/

Lol at 60 command sitting 93-97

3:20

He's just so fun, and potentially dominant.

If he's good, he'll look like deGrom or something like that but toned down.

Bonkers fastball, backs it up with a good slider, great command.

Guest

3:20

Seems you're amenable to fantasy questions; if not, apologies. Assuming 2020 happens in some form, who would you take as your 6th keeper (after: Yelich $62, Cole $34, Buehler $7, Ryu $5, Eduardo Escobar $2): Soler $14, Kepler $1, Boyd $4, Trea Turner $53. $270 budget, 13 teams, 9X9 but assume 5X5 + OBP to keep it simple. Not afraid of having a ton of $ tied up in keepers (i.e., Turner gambit) if it seems worth it. Thanks!

Ben Clemens

3:21

Totally happy to take fantasy questions, though I'm not an expert, particularly in keeper stuff

I'm not as hyped about Boyd as some of the Roto guys are

I think he's a third starter type, they think he's Gerrit Cole in a wig, give or take

3:22

I'd be tempted to just take Kepler for the price. Turner is awesome but I think that makes for a really fragile team. I'd keep him at 40 or something.

But again, this is not really my area of expertise even within fantasy.

I feel like league context matters a lot

JoBoozer right about now

3:23

What exactly was the premise behind coring out bats and putting superballs in the cored out space? I get corking to make the bat lighter, but superballs???

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