JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/22/24

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Ben Clemens

3:20

that said he'd been striking out a lot in the last two weeks before yday

I think he's gonna be totally fine, to be clear

just scuffling now

Okra

3:20

Thoughts on Pirates babying Jared Jones? Don't you have to let SPs in the majors go 6-7 IP (assuming reasonable pitch counts)? On current path if he misses 2mths with a random muscle pull then you have the same inning limit conversations next year. I'd rather a few starts get skipped late in the year than the silliness of pulling a guy after 5 IP, 1H, 0BB, 59 pitches.

Ben Clemens

3:21

I think that the innings specific limit was weird for sure

but I get the idea of not letting him get run too hot, I would give him as much rest as he needs this year

3:22

asking the player seems smart in this situation, I'd say

laughingstock

3:22

All of the projection systems listed on the player pages project Vlad for around 1+ win more than Josh Naylor this year. Is there something we know that the projections don't that suggest they are too optimistic?

Ben Clemens

3:22

So, projections have Naylor down for a 129 wRC+ and Vlad for a 135

I think I feel comfortable saying that Vlad's 2021 in a fake stadium (Buffalo) is putting a little bit too much juice in his projections

3:23

i mean that's too harsh, of course

he played a good amount of that year in Toronto too

and in away parks

but like, that's within margin of error, 6 points of wRC+

most of the difference in projections comes down to playing time, and I mean, sure

3:24

you are eating premade meals. meal kits are uncooked food you need to cook - all the stuff you need is in the kit, except oil/butter/salt/pepper.

Ben Clemens

3:24

Yeah, I guess I'll just say I don't care too much about the nomenclature

3:25

We tried those other ones too, but I am pretty handy at cooking meals from stuff I pick up at the grocery store, i didn't feel like I was getting enough bang for my buck on those

like if I have to cook anyway, I'm good at cooking

I don't need them to tell me what I'm eating

I cna make a rice bowl on command

Being

3:25

Given Holliday's issues so far, could Baltimore have had a point in deciding not to send him up?

Ben Clemens

3:25

I don't think so? I think that if he stays like this, they'll send him back down

3:26

which was always an option

but I am not too upset with how they handled his callup given that they still got it in before the full season service time deadline

I am obviously biased, but i feel vindicated in my assessment that holding him down for S2 was a bad mathematical decision

Different Greg

3:26

Regarding your pre-season Vegas totals, there are usually a few totals or division odds that are pretty far off of PECOTA/Fangraphs projections. Select full season MLB bets are the only kind of bets I actually think I can consistently beat the house

Ben Clemens

3:26

Yeah, concur

3:27

I'm also really leery of betting on individual player awards

I know voters, you know?

I want no part, unwitting even, of shading people's opinions

I could imagine some of those being good too though

The guru

3:27

Just curious, Does catcher def value in a Catcher war calculation use CERA? Please tell me no ha

Ben Clemens

3:28

Nah

it uses Steamer framing and Statcast blocking/throwing

bosoxforlife

3:28

A's take the lead! Mason Miller, and his 103 mph heat, is going to enter the game which is must-see baseball.

Ben Clemens

3:28

against Juan Soto, no less

3:29

Volpe/Soto/Judge against the most exciting closer in the game

Let's go

MackeyEvenSassier

3:29

Can we give Jed and Cubs front office some award? They hit in Busch and Shota this past off season. The rest of the roster is competitive and well built and the farm system is loaded. Oh yeah they smartly avoided backing up the truck for Bryant and Baez

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat