JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/29/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/29/24

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Harry Lime

2:27

With so many examples of bad calls , why doesn't MLB do something about the bad umps?

Ben Clemens

2:27

because they're actually quite good in the long run. I love this stat: Angel Hernandez is better than the average ump from the mid-2010's

in terms of percentage of calls made correctly

Alex

2:27

How likely is it AJ Preller loses both Soto trades? Greater than 75%?

Ben Clemens

2:28

mmmmm, I think it's hard to definitively say he lost the first

2.5 years of Soto is really valuable

the second one is looking dicey

and the difference between the two, yeah

Guest

2:28

Does Mark Vientos' walkoff HR yesterday change anything, or is it just a nice moment and he's still going to be sent back down once Marte's bereavement leave ends? Now that JD Martinez is active, and DJ Stewart is hitting pretty well, is there any way they can give Vientos AB without sitting Baty?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I think he's gonna end up sent back down when Marte comes back, yeah

2:29

I think that Stewart is the long-term odd man out but they seem to like him for lefty/righty balance

PittsburghBob

2:29

who you taking 1:1?? Bazzana or Condon??

Ben Clemens

2:29

Honestly, I just do not have a good idea of this

2:30

I like Bazzana's name more but this is not my area of expertise

Alex

2:30

When you say the Padres were forced sellers do you mean because Peter Seidler died or because there's a conspiracy within MLB to keep small market teams like the Padres down where they belong

Ben Clemens

2:31

Oh, the former

2:32

I think they just had to lower payroll

Okra

2:32

What do you think the Marlins should do at the deadline and this offseason. Full tear down or hold on to guys like Arreaz, Jazz, Luzardo? They have had horrible injury luck this year but don't seem like they are only a guy or two away even with better health.

Ben Clemens

2:32

I think they should probably do a full tear down but honestly this is just a broken organization

2:33

they don't seem to have a cohesive plan from one minute to the next

and I don't think the front office can do a lot to change that because ownership keeps moving that around too

it's just a bad situation, and I imagine Kim Ng is happy in retrospect that she got out of there before it crumbled

I want Soto

2:33

Is 15 years 40mil per with no deferrals enough?

Ben Clemens

2:33

in my opinion this would do it

Rick Asadoorian

2:33

Do you ever get nostalgic for early 2000s baseball when advanced metrics were in their infancy and we had a greater fog of war in player analysis?

Ben Clemens

2:33

Oh absolutely

2:34

There's a sweet spot in most things you can analyze where the analysis is really good but not broadly adopted

and that is the most fun time for people like me

we're past that point in baseball, which doesn't mean it isn't fun, but the low hanging nfruit is incredibly well understood at this point

Guest

2:35

Would you pick the Rockies, the White Sox, the As, or The Field (read: the Marlins) to finish with the worst record in baseball this year?

Ben Clemens

2:35

White Sox

I know the Marlins miraculously have a worse record right now, but I just like the players on teh Marlins enough more that I think they'll finish ahead

T(win)s

2:35

Twins are the worst team and can't hit for anything! Oh wait that was for last week's chat....

I mean Twins are the hottest team now and are WS bound! Gotta love the hot/cold nature of April baseball

Ben Clemens

2:36

Yeah I was watching their game yday and the Angels announcers kept praising the dominant Minnesota offense

like, wow, things flip around fast!

Yeah Well Hiura Towel

2:36

Is there anything there with Erick Fedde?

Ben Clemens

2:36

I predicted he'd get Cy Young votes before the year

I'm in

2:37

his sweeper is legit, and his command looks sharp

I think he's a low-3s ERA type guy

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