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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 4/8/24

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Ben Clemens

2:14

They really should right?

Guest

2:15

Happy Eclipse Day! 50th Anniversary of Hank becoming my king. No real question, just a tip of the hat to a great day for baseball...

Ben Clemens

2:15

Completely agree

My mom and stepdad drove to see the eclipse, which seems cool. I'm gonna stay home and watch some Hank Aaron coverage, which also seems cool, and is far less work

corbin carroll enjoyer

2:16

at what point does a rough start to the season for corbin carroll become a sophomore slump? Or, rather, when do we exit small sample size theatre and move into hot take auditorium?

Ben Clemens

2:16

Like 200 PA in or so

he's played in nine games! that's so few

Keeping a Brave face

2:16

I have S Strider on my team, how worried should I be?

Ben Clemens

2:16

sadly, I think you should be very worried

I'll be shocked if he avoids TJ given the way this has gone so far

Matt Damon

2:17

MATT. DAMON.

2:17

I, like many, was never in on the Marlins to begin with, and usually thinking a season is over in early April is a massive overreaction, but man the Marlins' season already seems kinds of over right?

Ben Clemens

2:17

I thought the Marlins season was over before it started, if we're being honest

2:18

like, that's not a good team they assembled

2:19

the injuries are obviously awful luck

Tyler

2:19

It's been two weeks, but Jackson Merrill looks like he might be a Dude...

Ben Clemens

2:19

yeah I am willing to take a little more signal on rookies than on vets, b/c we're just learning more about the rookies relative to our previous body of knowledge about them

i.e. do they look completely overwhelmed or not?

2:20

Merrill looks like he belongs. I'm not saying he's gonna keep hitting like this, but the odds of him being unable to compete at the major league level are a lot lower today than they were on March 19

Feeling Blue

2:20

Is Miguel Vargas worth a stash?

Ben Clemens

2:20

You might be asking the wrong person, because for me, unequivocally yes

2:21

I love Vargas, he's always been one of my guys, I think he might end up taking over for Lux sooner rather than later if Lux is actually anywhere near this bad

dinger

2:21

Friend of a friend has contacts in the rockies organization and is looking to marry a player. Assume she has the requisite merit to pull this off. Who should I advise her to pursue? I was leaning ezequiel tovar before his worrying series of errors in the opening series against arizona. Can we confidently say he wouldn't similarly stumble in their marriage? Nolan Jones is tall but his xBA is rather low for what I'm looking for here

Ben Clemens

2:21

now THIS is a question, haha

2:22

I think you want someone who does errors of commission rather than omission. Nolan Jones would make some mistakes, but he'd always be trying hard in the relationship, if it's anything like his defense

Grandal Richuk

2:22

This is going to shock you: the team that signed Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson leads the NL in home runs allowed.

TomBruno23

2:22

2nd worst SP FIP in MLB...Operation Bulk Innings off to a fast start in STL...

Ben Clemens

2:23

well let's let Sonny Gray debut, it doesn't help to have your best starter on the shelf, but yeah, turns out filling your rotation with innings eaters doesn't do a lot for quality

their quantity is pretty good though! Gibson wore six innings like a champ yday

Jose Altuve

2:23

HOFer?

Ben Clemens

2:23

By a mile, as far as I'm concerned

Insert Witty Name Here

2:23

Is there a new market inefficiency of starters who can throw 200 IP and a 4 ERA rather than having to pay one guy for 50 IP and a 3 ERA?

Ben Clemens

2:23

i mean.... teams would sign that guy if they could

2:24

four pitchers in the entire majors managed 200 innings and an ERA below 4 last year

if you relax it to 190 innings, it's 11 guys

2:25

Logan Webb, Zac Gallen, Gerrit Cole, Chris Bassitt, Framber Valdez, Luis Castillo, Pablo Lopez, Corbin Burnes, Zack Wheeler, Logan GIlbert, George Kirby

like you could argue Bassitt is undervalued, but those guys are rightly considered incredibly good pitchers as a group

fanoftheman

2:25

What's the biggest thing/question in baseball you've changed your mind about since you started writing?

Ben Clemens

2:26

two things: I think I underrated the importance of reliever rest and bought in a little too much to the whole launch angle/xstats revolution that all came around at the same time

so I was a little too quick to accept that whatever the most recent trends were were necessarily good, in other words

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