JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/10/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/10/21

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Ben Clemens

3:23

and eh

Oh I guess Gerrit Cole is over 30, and he has a shot

I'm gonna say 10. I think one or two active relievers make it, and there's a really good young crop of pitchers at the moment

Farhandrew Zaidman

3:24

Which recent mega contract has the most risk for a negative return? Seems like Mookie needs to play really well for a long time.

Ben Clemens

3:24

I think it's either Tatis or Cole, particularly if you grade Tatis on a curve b/c his contract buys out some cheaper years of team control

3:25

Cole is someone I've just always been too low on

So I'm probably wrong there

But pitcher contracts of that size scare me

Fish

3:25

Kimbrel and Chapman as your relievers with a chance?

Ben Clemens

3:25

They both have a shot, and it wouldn't be outlandish if Hader or some other young good closer eventually made it, though it's obviously unlikely

LFC Mike

3:26

How optimistic are you that Dom Smith can get it going? .222 with a .271 OBA .323 slg is just hard to look at..

Ben Clemens

3:26

I'd say I'm marginally worried about Dom. Contact quality has not been good this year, which worries me more than the rest of it

3:27

I was buying into New Dom based on how much he mashed the ball last year, so seeing that backslide just feels ominous

Parity

3:28

Aaron Hicks has a .640ish ops and is only 14 pct below average. This offensive season...

Ben Clemens

3:28

Yeah it's gross!

the league batting line this year is .234/.311/.391

.311 OBP ewwwwwww

3:29

I'd rather watch this year than 2014 still, when OBP was just as low, slugging was lower, and strikeouts were already above 20%

but it's getting bad again

3:30

making such a dramatic change in equipment (the new ball) is making it hard to know what's causing this but yiiiiikes

Darrin

3:30

Ty France or Josh Rojas this week?

Ben Clemens

3:30

a very cursory look would have me say France

3:31

but caveat, I have not done a deep dive and don't own either in my single fantasy league

Isolated Thinker

3:31

Any correlation between poor offense and batters facing many pitchers they haven't seen in 2 seasons or more?

Ben Clemens

3:31

I've never found a familiarity effect, but htat doesn't mean it isn't there

Just means I haven't found it

Ben > Roger

3:31

How are your fantasy leagues doing? I figure I’d ask a question no one has ever asked you before.

Ben Clemens

3:31

Haha I'm 3-7 in my Ottoneu league that I took over from Craig Edwards upon his departure

3:32

one big issue is that both Alex Chamberlain and Eno are in the league, so the two people I read for fantasy advice most are literally my opponents

that seems not great for my chances, to say the least

45 blows billygoats

3:32

So wait...you're saying Brad Keller $ucks???

Ben Clemens

3:33

I'm saying that I'm realllllly not sure. Weak answer but yeah, I'm really not sure

A cat

3:33

Do the A’s finally move if the latest stadium proposal fails? They are asking for quite a bit of infrastructure support from a city dealing with massive social issues.

Ben Clemens

3:33

I really don't know. They're asking for an amount they won't get, totally agree with you on that

I am just not sure they'll actually carry out their threat of moving

the scoundrels!

3:34

Meaning Alex and Eno are advising you one thing and doing something else?? Saving the 'best' advice for themselves?!? Shouldn't you otherwise be tied with them?

Ben Clemens

3:34

Oh no, just they're giving their advice on a few specific things, and I think that their overall processes are excellent

so I am maybe even with them on those few specific things

but way behind in every other category?

Johnny5Alive

3:34

Gotta activate Lamet this week in 13 team NL only roto, who am I dropping? Feyereisen, Luke weaver, or a bat like vanmeter. Weaver been killing me but I need Ks.

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