JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/15/23

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 5/15/23

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Ben Clemens

2:01

Hey everyone, welcome to the chat

party

1

tongue

1

love

1

I had a great week of baseball watching, my mom went to a Nats game (without me, I'm on the opposite coast) for Mother's Day, and I'm going to Wrigley next week for the first time

party

1

Good time to be me! Let's start chatting

Major League Bozo

2:01

Matt Mervis will turn it around, right? Right??

Ben Clemens

2:01

From here? Sure

2:02

I don't think it's a coincidence that he's projected to be right around an average hitter overall, though, it's not like he's Lou Gehrig 2.0

RA Niekro

2:02

Thoughts on Scherzer's start? He looked much crisper than he did recently.

Ben Clemens

2:02

With the caveat that it was against the Nats, who are bad, I'm willing to believe that pitchers who have shown they're good in the past are good again very quickly

So yes, I'm buying that he broke out of his funk

Guest

2:02

I know it's not the most meaningful stat out there but where can I find barisp? I checked a couple of webistes and nothing, thanks Ben

Ben Clemens

2:03

You can do it with our splits leaderboards!

there's a split called 'situation', which handles baserunners

Marcus Semien leads baseball with a .513 BARISP. Jonah Heim is second at .500. Go Rangers!

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/splits-leaderboards?splitArr=59&spli...

Joe Randa

2:03

Have we reached the point of legitimate concern for the Padres? It does not seem like they are unlucky, both Pythag and BaseRuns have the with similar records.

Ben Clemens

2:03

I mean, they're 19-22, it's not like they're the Cardinals or A's

2:04

but yeah, I think it's reasonable to be concerned that they're not the class of the NL West, surprise surprise looks like it's the Dodgers

Manny Machado hitting this poorly is very concerning

2:05

Same is true for Cruz and Carpenter

and a team built around middle infielders continues to have not much depth in non-middle-infield places, whoops

but Tatis being back and Soto being one fo the best hitters in baseball should help

Boy, it's a good thing they signed Bogaerts!

JJ

2:05

Seems like a lot of Cronenworth's value is being sapped by playing 1B full-time. Should the Padres explore trading Kim, moving Jake back to 2B, and picking up a RHH 1B/DH at the deadline to complement Carpenter?

Ben Clemens

2:05

I wonder about this sometimes, but I think it kinda makes sense to have all this overlap

2:06

It really helps out if anyone gets hurt, which is just an important thing to care about

I understand that it kinda saps his value, but it's not like they have better 1B options to run out instead

now sure, if they're capable of making 6 trades to squeeze out every last drop of value, go do it

But given the friction involved ni making trades in general, I kind of think what would happen is that they trade away Kim for prospects, then they have a worse ML team and prospects

And then, huh, we made the Padres worse

Braydon

2:06

Is Nolan Gorman's early-season breakout sustainable?

Ben Clemens

2:07

Depends a lot on what you mean by sustainable

I don't think he's a 150 wRC+ hitter, i do think that he's a guy who strikes out only slightly too much and hits for a ton of power

So I'm gonna say yes

He's broken out now, and will be an above average major league hitter going forward

In the equivalent of nearly a full season at this point, he's hitting .239/.320/.462, which is 20% above average

2:08

that'll play

Izzy

2:08

Riley Greene is finally starting to heat up. His wRC+ vs righties is 114 (104 overall). Is he about to break out?

Ben Clemens

2:08

I hope so, but I want more evidence

Using the same criteria as Gorman, in nearly a full season he's an exactly league average hitter, and his batting line this year is very close to last year's

2:09

Let's wait for him to get great

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