JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/17/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/17/24

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Ben Clemens

2:14

make a signability pick and use the savings to go overslot elsewhere once or twice

2:15

I jsut can't imagine a situation where it makes sense to so thoroughly punt one; there are never that many overslot options to make it worth it

Guest

2:15

Which player for you right now is most "must-see" viewing? I'd go Paul Skenes or Elly de la Cruz, personally.

Ben Clemens

2:15

Skenes, with a close runner up to the Yankee duo

Oh, and Mason Miller

Jared Jones has been replaced for the next little bit

I do love Elly, obviously, and he's up there, but not at the very top

Trevor

2:16

Bryan Woo was scratched from a start with arm soreness. Looking back at his minor league career he's never thrown more than 120 innings in a season. A couple thoughts:

Why do we talk about pitcher innings and not pitches? We have that data and it seems more relevant
I can't help but observe that as injuries are at an all time high, pitching prospects are throwing less and less. Obviuosly nobody knows how to keep pitchers healthy, but, do you think that throwing less might be counterproductive?

Ben Clemens

2:17

I think a major reason for number one is inertia, but I think that teams probably manage both. They're pretty linked, obviously

Also not all pitches and not all innings are created equal

so it's like, why improve to a still-flawed different metric that people will have trouble adapting to

as for two, I completely agree that no one knows how to keep healthy, and that it's entirely possible that putting everyone in bubble wrap is a bad plan

2:18

I'm not a biomechanics expert, and I do think that teams have those, so I'll defer to those guys when it comes to actual causes and effects

but surely this is worthy of study

Guest

2:18

In both 2006 (White Sox and Astros) and 2007 (Tigers and Cardinals), the two teams from the previous year's World Series missed the playoffs. Will we see that happen again this year (Rangers and Diamondbacks)?

Ben Clemens

2:18

Yes

boggspuckett

2:18

Jake Irvin, Mitchell Parker, DJ Herz: are any of them for real (as in, solid rotational piece. not "out of nowhere front-end starter)?

Ben Clemens

2:18

I am in on Parker against my better judgment

Drew

2:18

Who is the worst current team you still find interesting to watch?

Ben Clemens

2:18

The A's

they're so bad

and yet

fascinating

2:19

sorry guys, need to take a quick break, back in 5 or so

2:23

alright, back

Hunter

2:23

Riley Greene is looking like the best homegrown player the Tigers have produced since Castellanos, maybe even before that (Granderson?). What kind of extension would you be willing to give him?

Ben Clemens

2:23

This is more of a question for Dan than for me, he has the nice robot projection estimates

2:24

but I'd be looking at a deal to lock him up, no doubt

2:26

I think something along the lines of buying out all of his arb years, at roughly what you'd expect for arb payouts, plus buying out a free agent year at 20 million

and hten two team options for 25 apiece with some buyouts?

2:28

so I guess I'd start by offering 5/55 with team options

Princess Leia

2:28

help us Obi-Wan Clemonobi! You're our only hope!

Lil Kelenicky

2:28

Who's the one stud prospect that hasn't panned out yet that you'd most want to see live up to their fullest potential?

Ben Clemens

2:28

Jarred Kelenic, maybe?

Didace

2:28

I was too late to respond last week about how to raise OPS. I see two fixes that would help. Liberalize the check swing interpretation so that fewer strikes are called. And implement ABS full time. I know they have some things to still work out, but it seems to me (I know there's data that I don't have so I may be wrong) that most erroneous ball/strike calls favor the pitcher.

Ben Clemens

2:29

I actually think that ABS might be a bad plan. it certaintly needs more study

there are some breaking balls that are not called strikes today that ABS would mess with

as for check swing reform, I 100% agree

2:30

just put it in the rulebook

deBride

2:30

Many teams hardly use their 13th position player and arms are exploding everywhere...maybe time to allow 14 pitchers and 12 position players on the roster again?

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