JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/21/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/21/21

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Ben Clemens

2:52

Indeed

I've never been an 'overlook a year of data using narrative' person

But 2020 is sorely tempting me for a lot of players

Not just b/c of the sample size, but b/c of the pure weirdness of it

Gil

2:53

Are any of the Williams, Drury, McKinney type guys filling in for injured Mets anything more than AAAA guys? Wondering if any of them have any value as the team assesses needs going into trade season

Ben Clemens

2:53

I think McKinney is legit-ish as a fourth outfielder

Drury, maybe

Not totally in on Williams

Guest

2:53

Which is more likely: Yankees break the record for triple plays in a season, or league breaks the record for no-hitters in a season?

Ben Clemens

2:54

Oh, what a wonderful question.

Let's do a poll

Which record is more likely to fall this year?

Triple Plays (27.3% | 21 votes)

No-hitters (72.7% | 56 votes)

Total Votes: 77

The Stranger

2:54

I once went on a tour with a guide who was talking about how Sasquatch was real, but transdimensional and easier for children to see because their minds weren’t as rigid. This was in response to a question from a kid of about 10, and it took me a few minutes to realize he was dead serious and not just humoring the kid.

Ben Clemens

2:54

Okay, well, now I'm leaning towards not real

Offense

2:55

Will the Yankee be good at hitting now with Judge/GoodSanchez/Stanton/Voit/Urshela in a row? Being below average can't last forever, right?

Ben Clemens

2:55

I think so

Our projections certainly think so

CB

2:55

How do you explain all the bad losses the Cardinals have taken lately? Arozarena, Adolis Garcia, Patrick Wisdom, Zac Gallen, etc.

Ben Clemens

2:56

I'm not devastated by the Adolis loss, that's a loss shared by every team in baseball, b/c he passed through waivers a few tiems

Gallen I think was just a miss on figuring out these mid-tier prospects

Patrick Wisdom, I mean, same deal, not really a bad miss to me

For me Pham and Arozarena are the headlining bad ones

2:57

Like, I'll take the under on a 100 wRC+ rest of career for Wisdom

And again, every team in baseball had a shot and no one really wanted him

2:58

But I do think that they systematically undervalued players like Pham and Arozarena, and that it's no coincidence that I was in on both and the Rays snagged both relatively cheaply

Guest

2:58

Is it crazy to think of a pitcher's spin rate data as that pitcher's trade secret? If baseball was another type of entertainment industry, the ability to manipulate a baseball would be intellectual property, right?

Ben Clemens

2:58

I think you could make that argument about their grip

But not so much for how the actual ball spins

JJ

2:59

I'm waiting for the Ben Clemens article about how Austin Adams is breaking FIP by hitting so many people

Ben Clemens

2:59

Honest question, how does that break FIP?

Dalton Wilcox

2:59

Any good hitters available to trade for?

Ben Clemens

2:59

Story is gonna be the headliner

Bad Bill

3:00

Re uniformly tacky balls (and avoiding snark): isn't something like that what Lena Blackburne's Patented Baseball Rubbing Mud is for? Just how DOES it affect a baseball?

Ben Clemens

3:00

No idea!

And I don't think they konw either

Pumpsie Green

3:00

I think we're likely past S2 Day already, no?

Ben Clemens

3:00

Probably?

It's gonna be close

Something like 115 days left until the end of the season

3:01

(ends Oct 3)

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