JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/21/21

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 6/21/21

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Ben Clemens

3:25

there is, and I don't know if offhand but it's in The Book, and also our glossary should have some links into how to do it

https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/woba/

Mustaches

3:26

On Gabriel Moreno's player page his Steamer ROS projection is 100 wRC+, which is super impressive for a 21 year old catcher, but that 1 PA is throwing me off. Is that just an indication that he's not likely to play in MLB this year?

Ben Clemens

3:26

Yeah, Steamer has been using a projection that somehow uses our Depth Charts as inputs

I do not know exactly how

3:27

So it's just us saying he's not gonna play in the majors

jj

3:27

Didn't STL get a decent prospect for Arozarena? I think Pham was a more troubling trade for me, but there seemed to be something with him and management going on right?

Ben Clemens

3:27

They got Liberatore, so yes, that trade will likely look better

Depending on how he ends up

Thunderclap Jackson

3:29

Has anyone tried to research the potential effect of height differences between consecutive batters on pitcher performance? Could stacking a bunch of tall-short-tall-short batter combos prevent a pitcher (or umpire) from getting into a groove and have a real effect? Likely not enough of one to mess with lineup spots just for this reason, but idk

Ben Clemens

3:29

No but wowwwww I'm super into it

Written down in my notes folder

Giant Gonzales

3:29

As a fan, when I watch my Bosox continue to run out a Marwin Gonzales or Danny Santana or Andriese when you have Durran, Casas, Ort etc not on the 40 man yet they continue to win "most" games should I be happy or be pissed that they are not trying to win "more" games"

Ben Clemens

3:29

Pissed

3:30

I think Casas is more up in the air, he's doing it at AA rather than AAA

But yeah

It's weird that they have these two gaping holes (LF/1B) and their best two hitting prospects are nearly ready and could play there

Guest

3:30

how did gleyber torres lose so much power? were juiced balls really responsible for .150 points of SLG?

Ben Clemens

3:31

I'll first say I was never as high on Gleyber as, say, ZiPS

3:32

But yeah no idea, he looks bad

And I don't think the juiced ball comes anywhere near explaning it

B/c his exit velo numbers are also terrible

Forget lesser carry

Also the balls were juiced last year and he disappoined

disappointed*

3:33

so two years is a scary trend

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

3:33

As far as hindisghting STL trades goes, we also don't know what Arozarena looks like without the chicken and rice muscle bump. And I kind of wonder how good the masses would think he is without that comically absurd postseason. Like how know one knows who Joey Wendle is.

Ben Clemens

3:33

Oh totally, I'm just saying I was foresighting on him

I thikn that he's likely a little overrated now b/c of last postseason

But I was trying to get us to pencil him in as an everyday outfielder before the 2020 season

The power really turned him from average regular into a stud, though

Joshua

3:34

If the Nats do end up selling, what type of package do you think they could bring back for Schwarber? Could you give a specific fair and realistic deal as an example? Thanks!

Ben Clemens

3:34

Okay, let me try

3:35

The White Sox could really use a lefty bat and someone who can fake an outfield corner to ease the burden

The Nats would like someone who can contribute at least somewhat next year

3:36

Nats send Schwarber and his whole contract, Sox send Hunter Schryver (28.3% strikeout rate in AAA this year)

Base Ball

3:36

I know you’ve been down on Hiura for some time, but do you think he’s truly a below replacement-level caliber player, or do you just think the ceiling is extremely limited?

Ben Clemens

3:36

The latter

3:37

Er, well, that's not quite it either

I think that his game has so many moving parts

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