JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/15/24

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Ben Clemens

2:22

this came up when Pat Venditte was around

the pitcher declares which side he's going to throw from for the entirety of the plate appearance, and then the batter also picks

Okra

2:22

Will the positional adjustment for DH be adjusted soon? It seems too harshly negative

Ben Clemens

2:22

We're planning on looking into positional factors this offseason

2:23

Can't tell you what the results will be b/c we haven't done the work

Theo be Praised

2:23

When do you predict we'll have some sort of automated ball/strike system in MLB?

Ben Clemens

2:23

2026

Jason

2:23

I don't see that you've answered the question about who you think will get the last two NL Wild Card spots...

Ben Clemens

2:23

I'm sure I answered the other part of the question instead

I say Braves and Mets, b/c that'd be funny to me, but with very low confidence

Tim

2:24

Is there any research out there on what types of lineups tend to do best in the postseason? Ie. the Yankees having two stellar hitters surrounded by a bunch of guys who can't reliably get on base has created a ton of runs but doesn't feel like a great strategy for the playoffs. No clue if that's backed up by the numbers/history, though

Ben Clemens

2:24

Love this article from Ben Lindbergh

https://grantland.com/the-triangle/mlb-playoff-myths-to-ignore/

Natitude Adjuster

2:24

I was a little surprised the Nats got an actual prospect and the 39th pick for Harvey. Did that seem like a good return for the Nats to you too?

Ben Clemens

2:24

Yeah, good job by the Nats there

2:25

in my opinion at least

It's a great case of reading the room, too. the Royals bullpen is bad both in results and projections, so they probably need to make a bunch of trades

Dan

2:25

If a pitcher was truly incapable of holding a runner, everyone steals second and third whenever the base is open, fast runners steal home how good would they have to be to be worth rostering? Could the be an opener and just pulled after their first hit?

Ben Clemens

2:26

What if one of the first two batters gets on?

I actually think that this player would be unrosterable

if it's a true 100% steal chance

Okra

2:26

Assuming it's roughly 'market rate' expected cost for each; what do you do if you are Baltimore front office?
a) elite rental - Flaherty
b) high risk/reward - Crochet
c) screw it get the best guy - Skubal
d) boring SP depth - Z. Littell

Ben Clemens

2:26

Depends on what they think their extension roadmap looks like

2:27

I'd get Skubal if I thought re-signing him was part of my optimal strategy

I'm not a GM obviously, and I think that some team will trade for Crochet, but I would not

I just don't like the risk/reward distribution here

graphsman

2:27

Who’s the best prospect you’d consider including as part of Crochet package (assuming it doesn’t involve someone else like Fedde)? I feel like it starts a bit after the 60 fv tier, maybe around Coby Mayo ish, but I’m not sure how good I’d feel about that given the durability concerns. He’s so good right now though

Ben Clemens

2:27

Like, I would not trade Mayo for him

but I bet you some teams would do the equivalent

The Oriole Bird

2:28

Speaking of the Orioles and "extension roadmaps," WTH are they going to do with all their young guys? I would've hoped the first couple up (Rutschman/Henderson) would get extensions. But yikes, now they have a ton of good young guys--which is great--but no clear path to signing some to long-term deals. Thoughts on their strategic options?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I would find a big suitcase full of money and show it to Gunnar

tell him he can buy all the sweet cowboy outfits he wants with it

2:29

Figuring out what contract to offer Rutschman is kinda confusing

Catchers have been signing very team-friendly deals recently

Look at Will Smith

but why would Adley do that?

I'd be interested in signing Corbin Burnes, too, if I were them

2:30

the idea being that the position player spigot is running full force right now but they don't have enough pitching, so pay up to get an elite pitcher and plan on being very talented and efficient in other areas

Phil

2:30

Wasn't the "incapable holding a runner" guy just Jon Lester? In which case the answer is there is no such thing as a 100% steal guy, because players are too afraid of either getting hurt or some other weird thing happening (catcher makes a miraculous throw or whatever).

Ben Clemens

2:30

I mean, sure, but this is more of a hypothetical

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