JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/20/20

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Ben Clemens

3:34

In places

So that would be realllllly fun with Vlad

Guest

3:34

JJ Cooper

@jjcoop36
·
32m

We at Baseball America have verified with MiLB that no MiLB park meets the current MLB standards for stadium lighting.

Ben Clemens

3:34

Oopsie

soxfan

3:34

Is Alex Kirlloff in the Twins opening day lineup in 2021?

Ben Clemens

3:34

No, but after 16 days yes

Mike Hawk

3:34

At this point, you have to be at least 60% confident they'll play all 60 games. Or higher loewer %?

Ben Clemens

3:34

Yeah that sounds about right to me

Doctor Parrot

3:34

# of wins for second wild card team in AL/NL: 32.5?

Ben Clemens

3:35

Yeah I guess I'd take over? Good line though

Guest

3:35

ETA of Andrew Vaughn, Alec Bohm, Adley Rutchman and Jared Kelenic? Do any of the 3 get MLB AB's this season?

Ben Clemens

3:35

I will say 2020, 2020, 2021, 2021

I think Vaughn squeaks his way into some AB's when someone has a nagging injury

And Bohm the same

Those two teams are most interested in competing this year so they have more incentive to let the bats play

tmh

3:36

better career, Luzardo or Pearson?

Ben Clemens

3:36

Luzardo but with little confidence

Kevin Yost

3:36

Are we more likely to see players with multiple years of control traded then rentals? given how much time they would likely miss moving to a new team seems like 4 weeks of Giles might not be worth it compared to Givens or a Boyd type where its not just tied to this short sprint.

Ben Clemens

3:36

This is a really interesting question

I'm having trouble thinking about it

3:37

It's only 4 weeks of Giles, but it's 4 weeks in a short season

I am really unsure whether teams will value flags flying forever this year

I would

Scotty

3:37

Steamer sees Flaherty/Fried as being approximately the same (with a slight edge to Flaherty) in 2020. It doesn't feel right but makes me wonder if Flaherty is being underrated or is Fried being overrated?

Ben Clemens

3:37

Fried overrated imo

3:38

But also, Fried is good!

I find Flaherty's ranking about right. It bakes in some chance of regression

But still considers him one of the best starters in baseball

Whereas Fried is in that conversation despite never really doing it

My Name

3:38

OK, so maybe 5 HR for Ramos was aggressive. But he's a guy who had an OPS over 1.000 for a full month last year, and was well over .800 two other months. He's a guy who can get hot. Not trying to overrate him, but hey, the projections show the other options to be mediocre, right? If so, it feels reasonable to me that he might be the best option on a given day.

Ben Clemens

3:39

Yeah, eh, maybe. But I can't imagine thinking he's a *better* hitter than those guys, and he's also more valuable when he does catch

So why not give him the full rest day?

Big Joey

3:39

Are you buying into Alex Wood this year?

Ben Clemens

3:39

Yes but I buy into Alex Wood every year

So don't read too much into it

3:40