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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/20/20

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Ben Clemens

3:12

like if Tsutsugo isn't around, things are a lot cleaner for him

Guest

3:12

CMart going to end up closing, at least to start the year?

Ben Clemens

3:12

Unless things have changed in the last day, they're starting him in the rotation

I think that's a really good idea

Want an obnoxious article about it?

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/carlos-martinez-epitomizes-contextual-valu...

3:13

You're in luck!

Adam

3:13

Kershaw better/worse/about the same as last year? Kenley?

Ben Clemens

3:13

Better, better

Much less confident on Kenley though

I have a frequently-goofed with, never-finished article about reliever half lives

How long you can expect a reliever to be good

That I've never quite figured out

Human Rain Delay

3:14

RE: ootp what’s the incentive of building a multi year team? I understand that’s more realistic ,but what’s the payoff?

Ben Clemens

3:14

Oh, we're likely going to continue the league after this year

So basically that

Martinez DBax

3:14

Someone is going to GO OFF like JD did in Arizona. But not someone who's already that good. Who would you pick who's pretty good (like a 3 WAR full seasoner) who goes off?

Ben Clemens

3:15

So I've thought about htis. If you want that kind of person, you need to look at players who have a realllly tiny number of non-true outcomes

So basically sluggers who are a step below primetime

3:16

Seth Brown? Dom Smith? Mike Ford?

#1 trade candidate

3:16

Surely the Mets would be foolish not to try hard to trade Cespedes if he proves to be healthy early on.

Ben Clemens

3:16

Yeah no one will take him, though

Teams never want to take on contracts like that but given the money uncertainty around this year, I can pretty much guarantee you no one is looking to add salary in-season, particularly for a DH

3:17

I guess he's not huge, but it's like.... 11 million this year?

and he's a free agent after this year I believe

11 (non-prorated) this year I suppose

Adam

3:17

More likely, Marlins finish first or Astros finish last?

Ben Clemens

3:17

Ooh, this is a great one

I'm going to say Astros finish last

3:18

But honestly I have no idea

Yaboy

3:18

Been enjoying Drawful over zoom with friends lately. Do you play?

Ben Clemens

3:18

From time to time, and it's really fun

I'm a terrible artist

But Drawful doesn't care!

Doctor Parrot

3:19

You think maybe all the distractions could get to Houston and they'd just sort of fall apart?

Ben Clemens

3:19

If they're 10-18 through 28 games, sure?

That's why I'll take that over Marlins, like maybe the Marlins just get crazy hot and Sandy Alcantara is a fire emoji and so on

2-D

3:19

Do you think visiting stadiums are going to pump in boos for the Stros?

Ben Clemens

3:20

Ooh good one

But no

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