JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/8/24

Ben Clemens

2:00

Hey everyone, welcome to the chat

2:01

Let's jsut get going

Orioles fan

2:01

are we gonna be waiting til July 31st for the trade market to really get going again?

Ben Clemens

2:01

I think it'll be more like July 28th or something

but yeah... particularly since expanded playoffs, it's really hard to convince teams to get cooking early

2:02

everyone wants to know if they're in or out, which is harder to peg when so many teams are in

there's also this classic negotiation problem. Without a deadline looming, the temptation is always to hold out for a little more

"maybe they didn't send their best offer, maybe someone will get desperate"

2:03

I think that earlier trades tend to be for players who have more than just this year left on their deals

Matt VW

2:03

Is the Yankees' recent swoon just part of the ups and downs of the season, or is it indicative of some holes that need filling?

Ben Clemens

2:03

Yes

Look, the Yankee lineup is pretty bad outside two of the best 5 hitters in baseball

maybe two of the top two, really

2:04

when that bad part of the lineup is down, it's really down

I think they'll be just fine, but we're definitely looknig at a stars and scrubs team here

Booney

2:04

Compared to position players, it looks like fewer and fewer starting pitchers are primed to reach the (admittedly rough) 55-60 WAR threshold for HOF consideration. Overall, do you think WAR is accurately capturing their contributions, and that fewer pitchers deserve to get in? Or do we need to change how we think about these things?

Ben Clemens

2:04

I think that WAR is accurately capturing their contributions to winning, yeah

More and more pitchers are handling the same total amount of workload

2:05

so of course the WAR is getting spread out

I just don't think that that means fewer pitchers deserve to get in

fame is relative

I think that the criteria should be standing out relative to your era

Getting tired of it

2:05

Deyvision De Los Santos. Why does ink have very little to about DDLS? The man's stats at age 20 (!!) mirror Yordan Alvarez and in same AA/AAA competition. thank you.

Ben Clemens

2:06

technically he turned 21 a few weeks ago, but I take your point

2:07

I'm sure that our updtaed prospect lists will have something to say about him, but well, the prospect coverage right now is tilted towards a)finishing every list b)the draft

there's only so much oxygen in the room, you know?

Eli

2:07

is there any hope for the free-falling Yankees? And if they collapse and miss the post season, will that finally be enough to force out the Cashman/Boone regime?

Ben Clemens

2:07

If they miss the playoffs this year, I do think that the Cashman/Boone regime is probably done

2:08

but uh, I don't think they're missing the playoffs this year

Dan'l

2:08

The chance of the Cards selling some pieces (Helsley) is nearly zero now, I assume? Do they have a chance at the worst run differential for a playoff team ever?

Ben Clemens

2:08

I don't think so

last year's (!!) Marlins had a -57 run differential

2:09

that's the record, and if the Cards play poorly enough to lose another 30-ish runs of scoring differential, it's highly unlikely that they're qualifying

Ray

2:09

Hi Ben, I play in a 12-team roto where we score the big 5 plus OBP, SLG, and K’s. I use J. Pederson against RHP and am happy. Been offered C. Walker lin trade. Is he and his increased ABs an upgrade over Joc?

Ben Clemens

2:09

I'd take Walker, yeah

Guest

2:10

Lindor is 4th in MLB in fWAR (among hitters) since the start of 2022. Not a single All-Star appearance in these past three seasons. As a Mets fan/Lindor stan, this makes me sad! He's a superstar!

Ben Clemens

2:10

Yeah, I completely agree with this

to be clear, I don't see what they were gonna do this year

Elly De La Cruz actually does deserve the spot

like, just on the numbers. and he's also new and fun

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