JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/8/24

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Guest

2:52

What team will get the most contributions from players currently on their IL or minor league teams? Who will improve the most without trades?

Ben Clemens

2:52

I think it's probably the Rangers

all that pitching

Ikko

2:53

Reynaldo Lopez’s four-seamer has the highest run value of any pitch in MLB. However, he doesn’t get tons of whiffs on it, doesn’t get incredible extension, allows lots of hard contact on it, etc. How is that pitch so good at suppressing run expectancy? Is it just blind luck? Not sure what all goes into run value calculations.

Ben Clemens

2:53

run value calculations, at least ours, are blindingly simple

you take the RE before the pitch

you take it after the pitch

that's it

i guess we use wOBA, but like, it's very cut and dry

2:54

in our version of pitch values his fastball is 10th best

you can look at pitchingbot and stuff+ if you want to dive in a bit deeper

they're both on player pages now!

both of them think it's below-average on pure stuff, but that he has plus location

that's pretty close to how I feel about it

Richie

2:54

Bill James looked at it and decided Craig Biggio did absolutely dominate the bad pitchers and really struggled against the good ones pretty much though the entirety of his career.

Ben Clemens

2:55

Obviously, some players have done this

the question is whether you can do more than identify it retroactively

I think it's along the same lines as clutch

clearly, some players have been clutch

it's less clear that you can figure out who will be clutch next year

John