JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 7/8/24

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Ben Clemens

3:09

I actually played Arc Nova (similar name, very different) for the first time last week

i LOVED it

3:10

highly recommend if you like Terraforming Mars style games

Calvin

3:10

The yanks FO likes tanner Scott but It looks like he’s way over performing and once he regressed would be a fifth option out of the pen. Should I be happy if we land him?

Ben Clemens

3:10

I mean, if you think you're getting a 1.4 ERA pitcher, you'll be disappointed

3:11

if you think you're gtting a 30% strikeout rate guy who will probably walk too many, which is a reasonable late inning statline, you'll be just fine

Thomas

3:11

Ark Nova is cool. Not my favourite style of game, but I enjoyed the action mechanism and the overlapping score tracks

Ben Clemens

3:11

Yeah it's a very clever rendition of that style. Also I'm a big theme guy, and the theme really clicked for me

Worried in Seattle

3:11

I read the Mariners are the favorites to get Jazz. Are the Marlins going to want a superstar price for him? He's been fine this year, but he hasn't come close to being a superstar.

Ben Clemens

3:11

They might WANT a superstar price, but they aren't going to get one

3:12

104 wRC+ over the last 2 years and 750 PA. definitely some injury risk. 2.5 years of team control remaining

how much better is Jazz as a trade chip than Luis Arraez was before the year?

3:13

I think I'd rather trade for Arraez, tbh

and he did not get a superstar return

NAT

3:13

What parts of their future rotation do the Nats have in Gore, Irvin, Parker, Gray & Herz?

Ben Clemens

3:13

I'm all the way out on Gray

3:14

I'm all the way in on Gore

I say they h it on 1 of 3 of the other guys, a reasonable clip, and everyone's happy

other FanGraphs writers, if you're reading this, keep your grubby paws off of DJ Herz, I want to write about him sometime soon

Colton

3:14

Do you have an idea of what the 'correct' trade off is between contact and power in any of your research? Some guys, like Rooker, it pays to just empty the tank every time and some guys take the trade off, Bellinger, and it works out. Staring and Suwinski's page and it makes my brain hurt, I feel like I say that every week in one of these chats lol

Ben Clemens

3:14

I've always wondered about this and it's a really hard thing to figure out

3:15

basically I don't think it's easy to tease out from the statistics

because it depends a lot on perception and hand eye coordination

bosoxforlife

3:15

Since they all can't play do you prefer Kierstad or Cowser?

Ben Clemens

3:15

Cowser but with a low confidence level

Guest

3:15

What kind of return would Bo Bichette fetch right now? It seems like this would be a prototypical case of selling low of the Jays trade him.

Ben Clemens

3:16

I'm VERY excited to hear what teams think about where I put Bichette on my preliminary list

it would definitely be selling low

but on the other hand, let's say you're a playoff contender with a hole at shortstop

3:17

the Braves, let's say, or if the Dodgers decide to move Betts to second to ease the burden on him, then

them*

I dunno, maybe some more peripheral contenders too

do you really want to trade for someone who you're mostly hoping will lead you to the promised land this year

when he's hitting .225/.279/.326?

3:18

now, I think he's better than that obv

but... are you confident he'll fix it immediately?

and you really do need the next two months to be really good to get value out of trading for him, it's not like hte Jays are trading him for a song

3:19

I was on Blake Murphy's excellent radio show this morning and he asked a version of this quesiton

I'd prefer to trade for Vlad over Bo at the moment, which is different than where I've been for the past few years

Farhandrew Zaidman

3:20

Are you boarding the Gavin Stone for ROY hype train, or do Skenes and Shota have that locked up already?

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