JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/10/20

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Ben Clemens

2:17

I would assume you'd want to do 60/30/10 assuming equal PA

and then de-equalize the pa, if that makes sense

Chris

2:17

When do teams (cough angels cough) start addressing their needs through trades?

Ben Clemens

2:17

Didn't realize anyone was looking for an Arte Moreno in the market this year

Luther

2:18

Wait so a team can’t, just for one day, play better than another team even though overall they are worse, it’s just luck?

Ben Clemens

2:18

Oh no, I think it's that too for sure

I just think that "luck" is an overused term

Whereas like

random variance

is probably a better way of saying it

I guess I under-covered that in my explanation as well

2:19

Anyone can have a day where they feel at their 25th percentile or at their 75th

Is it luck which of the two you're at?

Or just variance?

I'm not sure I'm explaining this well

But I guess my point is, saying a team is 'better' just means 'in more than half the possible worlds, they're better'

Your Name

2:19

I think that lately I feel 25th percentile on my 75th percentile days. Should I get that checked out?

Ben Clemens

2:20

Buddy I feel 10th percentile on my 90ths

It's been a hell of a year

Guest

2:20

As a Rays fan, I really just want to see Nate Lowe and Randy Arozarena. Plus with Chirinos and Morton injured, throw McKay/McClan/Ryan in there.

Ben Clemens

2:20

Good god I want to see Randy so much

Just do it

He might be so good!

Luther

2:20

No no that last part I understood, good explanation thank you!

Ben Clemens

2:20

Yeah I think I forgot the 'people have good and bad days'

But thanks

Rasmussen

2:21

A draft lottery would be one idea or a combination of 2019/2020 records. The lottery would be bonkers and the most randomized fun which is why I shouldn't be in a FO either.

Ben Clemens

2:21

I'd love a lottery

Don't think they are doing it but heck yeah

I also love the 'games after elimination' model

That the NBA batted around for a while

as soon as you're eliminated from the playoffs, you're eligible to receive a 'draft order win' for every win

And whoever has the most draft order wins drafts first

Guest

2:21

Rays clearly have some holes. The offseason pickups/extensions of Margot, Renfroe, Zunino, and Tsutsugo. Who do you believe figures it out and who do you believe gets replaced (and by who)?

Ben Clemens

2:22

I would like to see more Randy, as I said. Also I like Zunino and Tsutsugo

I'm not quite in on Renfroe

So maybe he's the first to go?

2:23

It's really hard to parse at this point in the season because they haven't given people enough PT to know yet

But uh, they have 23094820394823 rotation players and 9 spots, so that was always a risk

Mike Hawk

2:24

What sort of market, if any, do you see for Brandon Belt and should the Giants try to get something for him this year?

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