JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/10/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/10/20

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

AW

2:53

do you bring up Dylan Carlson for a quick trial because the season is broke for the Cardinals? No way they can play at peak levels with double headers constantly. Do you have data for how well teams perform the day after double headers/long streaks with no off days?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I haven't seen any that I feel good enough about to recommend to you

2:55

But yes, it's a serious impact.

I think they absolutely should bring him up

I think they will, at some point

THey've already gotten their year

Guest

2:56

Breaking COVID protocol is obviously *not good*, but Zach Plesac was having a sneaky good start to the season before that. Is the improvement real or just a flash in the pan?

Ben Clemens

2:56

I lean flash in the pan but Jake Mailhot disagrees with me:

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/zach-plesac-is-the-next-success-story-in-c...

Mike Hawk

2:57

Wander Wander Wander, everyone wants to see Wander. When do we and what can we expect? A Soto-like immediate impact of a Vladdy Jr. "he'll get better, have patience" droll?

Ben Clemens

2:57

Pretty sure we won't be seeing Wander until next year

And honestly, I have no idea which, but I hope it's Soto-esque

More Soto's, please

Stevil

2:58

With Kyle Lewis looking like a legitimate center fielder and Kelenic likely debuting early next season, could you see Seattle investing in a corner outfielder to serve as their fourth outfielder/DH rather than leaning on guys like Fraley or Bishop? They have a serious lack of veterans on board moving forward, so there's that.

Ben Clemens

2:58

Yeah, that would make some sense

2:59

An okay performer seems like something they could add without feeling like they're goofing up the future

And their outfield should be very fun next year regardless of what they do

Audrey

2:59

O's fan here: Kevin Gausman's success in SF is as real as Dylan Bundy's in LA, no?

Ben Clemens

2:59

I think so

3:00

Which is to say, neither are quite as good as they've shown this year, but both are excellent nonetheless

Aaron

3:01

Looks like the projections sold Tatis a little short! What do you expect a contract extension to look like?

Ben Clemens

3:01

I think it's early to think about that, but I hope he goes the Lindor/Mookie route and waits a bit

There's more money that way and I don't think a down year materially impacts his trajectory so why not get a little patient?

Jacob

3:02

What do you think of Statcast's xwOBA? Seems to suggest that KC and BAL are top 10 teams so far this year. (Yes, I know the season is young)

Ben Clemens

3:02

That's probably not the right way to use it, b/c of stacking concerns and so on, but uh, they're both hitting really well

I think that xwOBA will be interesting this year

B/c of the massive BABIP drop

As I understand it, xwOBA gets back-fit to actually match the results on the field at year's end

3:03

But for example, pitchers have allowed a .303 wOBA this year

Using Statcast's definition of wOBA, which is fixed weight instead of floating to match OBP

But xwOBA is .320

So, the mismatch will need to be corrected out at some point

RAH

3:04

I owned Fernando Tatis in a keep forever dynasty league. But I dropped him for some shiny new thing when he was striking out half the time in Single A. It didn't take long for me to regret it, but now I can't get away from him. Thanks for letting me get that off my chest.

Ben Clemens

3:04

We're all friends here, you can say what you need to

And oooooowwwwwwww

Mike Hawk

3:04

Kim moving back to the rotation. In other chats, people have said he has #2 upside. What do you see?

Ben Clemens

3:04

I'm into it. I have not drafted any fantasy teams for the half-season, because I thought writing would be hectic enough

3:05

But in my pre-season drafts (2) I was really high on Kim

Ended up with him and C Mart in both

DW

3:05

This week only, pick one to sit: Voit, Dominic Smith, Pollock or Jesus Aguilar.

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Ben Clemens hosts a chat