JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/19/24

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/19/24

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Ben Clemens

2:16

the problem is that Rafaela is a huge minus as an infielder and huge plus as an outfielder, so playing him at short to squeeze in Yoshida's bat at DH (by putting Abreu in the field) just doesn't make sense

I mean, I could be wrong and Abreu could be the weak link here

2:17

But I don't htink it's Duran or Rafaela, and it's probably not Tyler O'Neill?

Nick

2:17

How do you consume baseball during the season? Multiple screens to watch multiple games? Focus on a single game/night? how does Ben figure out what he likes and doesn’t like in any given week!

Ben Clemens

2:17

Oh it's very arbitrary

I'm a single game single screen guy, but I do jump around between games quite a bit

If I'm watching a non-competitive game and tehre's nothing clearly grabbing my attention, I'll generally switch

Justin

2:18

Do different sites have different win probability charts? ESPN's seems off to me when I'm watching their broadcasts and they display win probability on screen.

Ben Clemens

2:18

Yeah. What historical set of games you compare to is most of the difference, I think

Guest

2:18

would you believe Jack Suwinski is 4-for-45 in his latest AAA stint?

Ben Clemens

2:19

I would b/c he's on my Ottoneu team (look, I should cut him, I know) and I see his lines every so often

my gooooodness

mason morris

2:19

Corbin Carroll! All the way back??

Ben Clemens

2:19

Let's just say 'yes'

b/c I'd be splitting hairs about anything between, say, 95% and 100%

2:20

It's wild how he was just really bad for a long time

and then bam, just back

it's hard to figure out what players are going to do!

Jeremy

2:21

Is relief pitcher performance more variable year-to-year than starter performance just because relievers pitch fewer innings (=smaller sample size)? Or is reliever performance more variable year-to-year than starter performance because relievers are worse pitchers than starters, and/or airing it out more than starters?

Ben Clemens

2:21

yes

GraphsFan

2:21

Think the Mariners move one of their young pitchers for a hitter or two this offseason? Miller and Woo gotta be at their peaks, and Logan Gilbert team control is starting to dwindle.

Ben Clemens

2:21

Look, never say never, but my view has consistently been that the Mariners value their pitching so highly that no one is likely to meet their asking price

Corbin Carroll

2:22

Am I kaput? What is my outlook for next year?

Ben Clemens

2:22

Okay, amazing

2:23

splits are always kind of a silly way to say if players are good, b/c small samples and all, but carroll is slugging .611 since the All Star break

of course, Tyler Fitzgerald is slugging .748 since the break

DeeBo

2:23

What's your level of confidence in Spencer Torkelson going forward? Would love to see him be at the center of the youth movement in Detroit

Ben Clemens

2:24

it's not zero.... so like, 1%?

I think it's really smart of them to bring him back up and see what they have

but it's not even like he hit well in the minors

2:25

I think that at this point, you have to face facts here. There's a pretty good chance that Torkelson just doesn't have the skills to consistently hit major league pitching at a high level

Hunter

2:25

ESPN has Clase at the top of their AL Cy Young tracker. Did they do this to make me upset?

Ben Clemens

2:25

I don't even have any comments here, that's wild

actually I lied, I do have one thing to say: use our Cy Young tracker

https://www.fangraphs.com/projections/cy-young

2:26

not only does it track what's happened now, it uses our projections to imply how the race projects to look at year's end

and uh.... Skubal/Sale by a mile

Justin

2:26

Who is your favorite national tv play-by-play man? I think mine is Boog Sciambi

Ben Clemens

2:26

Making me pick a favorite is so cruel

oh national, I was thinking my favorite of the broadcasters

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