JotCast | Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/24/20

Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 8/24/20

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Jimbo

2:25

What do you make of early season changes to exit velocity? Is that something that needs a bigger sample to level out?

Ben Clemens

2:26

Be super careful with these, because Hawkeye is picking up more batted balls than Statcast did

Or sorry, than the radar did, I forget its name at the moment

And the ones they're picking up are largely pop ups and topped grounders

So you'd want to do something like isolate launch angles between 10 and 30 degrees to do a like for like check

Joshua

2:27

If the Angels attached Brandon Marsh to Justin Upton and his awful remaining two years of his contract, would that make sense for the Angels and for the team receiving this trade?

Ben Clemens

2:27

I think it would, but I don't think teams are going to be taking on cash this year

2:28

It just seems sooooo unlikely given the economic climate

And Jimbo, on balls hit between 10 and 30 degrees, average EV was 92.8mph last year and 92.6mph this year

Don

2:28

If there are ever robot umps, do you think the league would still adjust it so pitches are still called balls if they are those silly breaking balls that clip like a millimeter of the upper part of the zone?

Ben Clemens

2:28

I think they'd have to redefine the strike zone

I'm not exactly sure how

Don

2:29

Is Lance Lynn the biggest name traded at the deadline?

Lukas

2:30

What (if anything) should the Padres try to acquire before the trade deadline?

Ben Clemens

2:31

I've been trying to figure out what I think the deadline will look like, and I'm still kind of stumped

I could see it being a bunch of Phils/Sox trades where teams fill in small holes

2:32

I'm not really sure which way I lean yet. Lynn would make a lot of sense as a trade, though, or maybe Kyle Seager if some contender thinks they really want a third baseman, though his contract is tricky stlil

2:33

I'd like to see the Padres go get a reliever, but they could justify standing pat as well. Pagan is fine as the back of your pen

Jkim

2:33

Re: robot umps - The starting point should be by % strike called on a particular pitch on that location I would think, i.e. based on historical data of how pitches were called and not the letter of the law

Ben Clemens

2:33

It should probably be something along those lines, but there's also the question of probability

It would be weird to just draw a line at 50% and call everything over a strike and everything under a ball

2:34

I'm not sure how they could handle it, but doing a black/white thing would be very unpopular

Jkim

2:34

A potentially hilarious and fun idea would be that both teams decide on the percentage beforehand lmao

Ben Clemens

2:34

Oh I like this!

Joshua

2:34

What could the Giants get in return for Yaz? He's already 30 and is definitely at a peak value right now. Dealing him for some prospects who align with better with Joey Bart's time frame and all the money they have coming off the books in the next 2 years (Cueto, Crawford, Belt, Posey, etc), it could make sense for them to deal him now.

Not Evan

2:34

The internet website baseballtradevalues dot com (has everyone already seen this? actually pretty cool!) says that Mike Yastrzemski is about as valuable as Andrew Vaughn or Sixto Sanchez. What say you, is that about a fair prospect return for the Giants?

Ben Clemens

2:34

Lot of questions about Yaz getting traded

2:35

I'm on the record, I think, as saying he'll be better than league average going forward

2:36

And I do think that the Giants will be looking to trade him, though this offseason rather than right now

I'm not exactly sure how this site generates their trade values (they keep it purposefully opaque)

2:37

But put Sixto on a contending team, and I do not think they'd be willing to trade him for Yastrzemski

I think that the discussion would probably start around that range, though

2:38

We have Vaughn higher than Sanchez, for exmaple, and I'd be more willing to trade him than Sixto for Yastrzemski

Something in the 50-55 prospect range makes sense to me, though it's maybe a better question for Craig or Eric

Guest

2:38

Mike Clevinger will make ___ more starts for Cleveland in 2020

Ben Clemens

2:38

Um, I'm going to say 4

(who knows)

I'm less convinced that they'll trade him than I was last week

Daniel

2:39

Which board game is the Fernando Tatis Jr of board games?

Ben Clemens

2:39

I've been thikning about this one in the background for a while

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